Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 04/16 (Moussa Diabate Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As the Charlotte Hornets hit the road to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Moussa Diabate's rebounding game, particularly if you're considering the under on his total of 10.5 boards. While Diabate has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 8.6 rebounds over his last five outings, he's only pulled down 8 on the road recently. Facing a Magic squad that's improved their defensive rebounding, it's tough to see him surpassing that mark.In fact, Diabate has averaged just 7 rebounds against the Magic historically, and with his last three away games hitting under the line, the signs are clear. The odds favor the under, especially given his recent average of 7.93 against teams like Orlando. With a hit rate of 5 out of 6 in his last games, it feels like a solid bet to back the under on Diabate in this matchup.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)

When it comes to Moussa Diabate's contributions in the upcoming matchup against the Orlando Magic, the signs point to a quieter night. Playing away, he's been averaging just 5.6 points and 8 rebounds over his last five games, which translates to a total of around 13.1 combined. If you dig deeper, his performance against the Magic isn't particularly inspiring either, with averages of 7 points and 7 rebounds in their recent encounters. It's worth noting that Diabate has hit the under in five of his last six games, and he has been particularly subdued on the road, hitting the under in each of his last three away contests. With an implied probability of 51.3% for this under bet and the Magic's solid defense, it feels like a smart move to take the under on Diabate's points and rebounds at 17.5.

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Over 13.5 Points (-123)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, Brandin Podziemski is poised to shine, especially with an Over on his points set at 13.5. In his last five outings, he's averaged an impressive 19 points, showcasing his ability to elevate his game on the road with 17.6 points per away contest. The Warriors' matchup against the Suns could be particularly fruitful for him, as he's averaged 14.4 points per game against them while away.The numbers don't lie: Podziemski has hit the Over on this line in 10 of his last 11 games, including three of four in away matchups. With an expected stat value of 17.89 and a solid hit rate, he seems primed to capitalize on this opportunity. If the Warriors look to keep pace with a high-scoring Suns team, expect Podziemski to play a crucial role, making this bet a compelling choice.

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 7.5 Assists (-119)

As LaMelo Ball heads into his matchup against the Orlando Magic, the under on his assists at 7.5 feels like a sharp play. While he's flashed brilliance with a recent average of 7.6 assists, his away performances tell a different story-dropping to just 6.2 assists in his last five road games. When facing Orlando, he's even less effective, averaging only 6 assists away. The Magic's defense has been particularly stingy against playmakers, and with Ball's overall hit rate showing that he's only managed to exceed this line in 11 of his last 20 games, the trends lean heavily towards the under. Given his expected stat value of 6.27 and an implied probability of 54.3%, it's clear that the odds are aligned against him surpassing 7.5 assists this time around. This is a prime opportunity to capitalize on the numbers and back the under.

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 4.5 Threes Made (-143)

As LaMelo Ball heads into this matchup against the Orlando Magic, it's worth considering a wager on him to go under 4.5 made threes. While his recent form suggests a knack for sinking shots-averaging 5.2 threes over the last five games-there's a closer look that tells a different story against this specific opponent. Historically, he has averaged just 3.2 threes against the Magic, and even lower, at 3.8, when playing in their gym. That's notable given his away performance, where he's hit the mark in only 7 of his last 11 road games. With the Magic's defense tightening up, limiting perimeter shots, this could be a strategic night for LaMelo to facilitate rather than fire. Taking the under on 4.5 threes feels like a savvy play in this context.