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WTA tennis predictions for Friday, October 16: the model leans Jelena Ostapenko

4 WTA tennis matches on Friday. The model's strongest pick is Jelena Ostapenko +3.5, a LEAN-confidence call.

By Isabella Rossi · Published Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC · Updated Oct 15, 11:47 PM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko

Fri Oct 16, 3:00 AM UTC
Top pick: Jelena Ostapenko +3.5 (they can lose by up to 3 games and the bet still wins)+110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Diana Shnaider faces Jelena Ostapenko in a tight matchup that could go either way.

Full Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko preview →

Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal

Fri Oct 16, 4:30 AM UTC
Our pick: Sonay Kartal +3 (they can lose by up to 2 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 3 games and your stake comes back)+110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Sonay Kartal has been playing well lately, showing some strong performances that keep her in the mix with tough opponents.

Full Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal preview →

Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari

Fri Oct 16, 5:40 AM UTC
Our pick: Maria Sakkari -1.5 (they must win by 2 or more games)-109

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Maria Sakkari needs to win by at least two games against Maja Chwalinska tonight.

Full Maja Chwalinska vs Maria Sakkari preview →

Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek

Fri Oct 16, 11:00 AM UTC
Iga Swiatek at Ann Li · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Ann Li vs Iga Swiatek preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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