On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs play Newcastle Knights in the NRL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 45.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 45.5 Total Points (+110)

Odds available at Ladbrokes at time of publishing

On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 45.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 45.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at Ladbrokes. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

South Sydney Rabbitohs -7.5 on the Line (-111)

Odds available at Unibet at time of publishing

On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is South Sydney Rabbitohs -7.5 Line. On this line South Sydney Rabbitohs give up 7.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 7.5. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Unibet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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