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Model picks & player props
Bologna
VS
Fiorentina

Bologna vs Fiorentina Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:50PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Outdoor
Sun 18 May 2025, 6:45PM
20
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Fiorentina Draw No Bet -108

The model graded 22 markets for Bologna vs Fiorentina (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 May 2025, 6:45PM at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.2%
The price says51.8%
Best price-108
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Fiorentina High61% chance -108
Both Teams to Score Lean60% chance
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot37% chance
Moneyline Long-shot37% chance
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean43% chance
Moneyline Lean43% chance
Total Goals Lean47% chance
Shots on Target × 1 prop Highup to 77%
Anytime Goal × 1 prop Long-shotup to 39%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Fiorentina · $100 returned $191

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 34 of 77 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Frosinone
Frosinone @ Fiorentina
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $420
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Fiorentina
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
FiorentinaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Bologna

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Fiorentina

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Bologna vs Fiorentina: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moise Kean Juventus Shots on Target
Moise Kean Juventus Anytime Goal

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBologna @ FiorentinaNo line posted
3-1-4past meetings (last 8)
Draw37%Bologna43%Home form8-4-8Away form9-7-4
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Fiorentina have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBologna @ FiorentinaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Fiorentina55%Bologna60%Free board23-10
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Fiorentina's and 60% of Bologna's recent matches. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBologna @ FiorentinaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg3.0
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.0 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Bologna @ Fiorentina — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for Bologna at Fiorentina — 20 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 21 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
18 May 25 Total Goals Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
18 May 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
18 May 25 Draw No Bet Fiorentina ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Bologna vs Fiorentina in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 May 2025 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The model has generated 20 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Fiorentina 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jan 2026Fiorentina @ Bologna1–2Fiorentina
Today's selected board

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