Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Dillon Brooks is primed to light up the scoreboard against the Houston Rockets, particularly with the Suns hosting this matchup. At home, Brooks has been a different beast, averaging an impressive 20.6 points and 4 rebounds over his last five games in Phoenix. His recent performances showcase a sharp increase when playing at home, making the 19.5 mark for points and rebounds seem well within reach.Historically, Brooks has scored an average of 18.8 points against the Rockets, and in home games, that number slightly dips to 18.4. However, considering his overall hit rate of 9 out of 10 at home, the momentum is on his side. With an expected stat value soaring to 23.54, the combination of his scoring ability and the home court advantage makes the "Over" look exceptionally appealing. It's hard to ignore the numbers when they paint such a convincing picture of Brooks stepping up when it matters.

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockets gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Alperen Sengun, but I'm leaning towards the under on his rebounds at 8.5. Sure, Sengun has shown flashes of brilliance, especially with a solid 9.2 average on the road lately. However, against Phoenix, his last five performances against them yield a modest 7 rebounds per game, dipping even lower to 6.2 in their recent away encounters. With the Suns boasting a formidable frontline, Sengun might find it tough to grab boards against Deandre Ayton and co. His last four outings have seen him go under the mark three times, and for a player who typically hovers around 7.4 rebounds overall, this game could very well play into a tighter rebounding scenario. Given the stakes and the matchup, I'm confident we'll see Sengun fall short of that 8.5 threshold.

Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Houston Rockets, all eyes will be on Jordan Goodwin and his rebounding numbers. While Goodwin has shown some promise, averaging 5.2 rebounds over his last five games, his home performances tell a different story. At home, he's notched up an average of 7.4 rebounds, yet against the Rockets, his numbers dip significantly, with only 4.5 rebounds in their last matchup at home. The Suns' offensive style may limit Goodwin's opportunities to crash the boards, and with an expected stat value of just 4.24 rebounds, it's clear that hitting the over on 5.5 feels like a stretch. Given his recent hit rate of 3 out of 4 on this under, betting the under here seems like a savvy play, especially with an implied probability of 58.5% suggesting he might just fall short of that 5.5 mark.

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