Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets head to Phoenix, we're looking at Nikola Jokic's rebounds and assists line set at 24.5-a number that feels a touch high given the context. In his last five away games, he's averaged a solid 15.2 rebounds and 10.6 assists, but those numbers dip when facing the Suns. Historically, Jokic has pulled down around 10 boards and dished out 9.8 assists against Phoenix on the road, suggesting that the Suns' defense knows how to limit his impact. Plus, in his last 20 away games, he's only cleared this 24.5 mark 65% of the time. With a projected stat value of just 21.19, it looks like the odds are pointing to a tighter game where Jokic may struggle to hit that threshold. As the Nuggets face off against a formidable Suns squad, going under on Jokic feels like the right play.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Grayson Allen is primed for a big night as the Phoenix Suns host the Denver Nuggets. His home performance has been nothing short of electric, averaging over 20 points and 3 rebounds in his last five games at the Footprint Center. The numbers tell a compelling story: against the Nuggets, he's been particularly effective, racking up about 15.8 points and 2.6 rebounds on average. With an impressive hit rate of 11 out of his last 12 home games, Allen seems to thrive on familiar ground. The stars are aligning for him to surpass the 16.5 mark in points and rebounds combined, especially given his expected stat value of nearly 20. The Nuggets' defense will be challenged, and Allen's offensive rhythm at home could lead to a standout performance that makes this bet a strong play. Expect him to rise to the occasion!

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets face off against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to secure over 13.5 rebounds might not be the smartest play. While he has a reputation for dominating the boards, his recent performances tell a different story. In his last five games, he's averaged just 11.8 rebounds, and when we zoom in on his away games, that number dips to about 15.2. Against the Suns specifically, he's averaged 10 rebounds when playing away, a stark contrast to his overall prowess. The Nuggets' recent matchup history suggests a tighter contest, and given his hit rate of 7 out of 12 for hitting the over, the under seems like a solid bet here. With Jokic expected to finish around 12.58 rebounds, there's value in targeting the under as he navigates a challenging Phoenix frontcourt.

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