Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Nikola Jokic rolls into Phoenix, there's a compelling case to take the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 24.5. Although the reigning MVP has been dazzling recently, averaging nearly 24.8 combined in his last five outings, the Suns present a unique challenge. Historically, when playing away against Phoenix, Jokic's numbers dip; he's averaged just 10 rebounds and 9.8 assists in similar matchups. That's a stark contrast to his usual dominance.Moreover, in his last 20 away games, he's only cleared this mark 65% of the time. Given that the Suns will likely focus on limiting his playmaking, expect Jokic to find himself double-teamed more than usual, impacting his assist totals. With his expected stat value around 21.19, and the underlying numbers suggesting a tighter game, betting the under seems like a savvy play for this matchup.

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Suns' showdown against the Nuggets, keep a close eye on Grayson Allen. Playing at home, he's been a scoring machine, averaging over 20 points in his last five home games. What's impressive is that he's not just finding the net-he's also crashing the boards effectively, pulling down about three rebounds on his home court. Historically, he tends to thrive against Denver, with an average of nearly 16 points and over five rebounds per game at home against them. With a staggering hit rate of 11 out of his last 12 home games, it's clear that Allen knows how to deliver when the lights shine brightest. Given his expected stat value of nearly 20, betting on him to go Over 16.5 points plus rebounds seems not just smart, but almost necessary for this matchup.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When Nikola Jokic takes the court against the Phoenix Suns, expectations run high, but the numbers suggest a potential dip in his rebounding stats. Sure, he's a beast on the boards, but in recent matchups against Phoenix, Jokic has averaged just 10 rebounds per game when playing away. The Suns have a knack for limiting opposing bigs, and in his last five away games, Jokic has logged an impressive 15.2 rebounds on average, yet it's crucial to note that his recent form against the Suns shows a stark contrast with just 10 rebounds. With the total set at 13.5, there's a compelling case to target the under. The odds favor this outcome, suggesting the sportsbooks might be overvaluing Jokic's rebound potential here. Given the trends and the stakes of this matchup, betting the under could just be the way to go in this intriguing showdown.

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