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Model picks & player props
Anaheim Ducks
VS
Washington Capitals

Anaheim Ducks vs Washington Capitals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Capital One Arena, Washington
Indoor
Tue 6 Jan 2026, 12:00AM
4
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Anaheim Ducks (Moneyline)
For Anaheim Ducks vs Washington Capitals (NHL), model win probability 65.6%, fair odds 1.52, book price +118, model edge +19.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Tue 6 Jan 2026, 12:00AM at Capital One Arena.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Anaheim Ducks
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Anaheim DucksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Anaheim DucksPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Anaheim Ducks

  • Nick Jensen DOut
  • Petr Mrazek GOut
  • Troy Terry RWOut
  • Drew Helleson DOut
  • Ryan Poehling COut

Washington Capitals

  • Jordan Kyrou RWOut
  • Rasmus Sandin DOut
  • Pierre-Luc Dubois LWOut
  • Charlie Lindgren GOut
Availability updated Jul 4, 7:03PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Anaheim Ducks vs Washington Capitals: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Mason McTavish Anaheim Ducks Shots on Goal 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Anaheim DucksNo line posted

Anaheim Ducks @ Washington Capitals moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineAnaheim Ducks +1.5No line posted

Anaheim Ducks @ Washington Capitals puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Anaheim Ducks @ Washington Capitals total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Anaheim Ducks @ Washington Capitals — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Washington Capitals vs Anaheim Ducks. Includes analysis on key players like Mason McTavish. Discover NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Washington Capitals vs Anaheim Ducks stats and odds.</p>

Washington Capitals vs Anaheim Ducks : Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-204)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Anaheim Ducks +1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market is based on the comparative performance of both teams. Despite the Washington Capitals' strong recent home performance (4-1 record), their average goals per game is only 1.8, while their average goals against is 3. This suggests their victories have been tight affairs. On the other hand, the Anaheim Ducks have been struggling recently, especially on the road (1-4 record), but their record against the Capitals is encouraging (3-2). The Ducks' average goals against is high (3.8 away, 4.4 overall), but the +1.5 line provides them a cushion, effectively meaning they can still lose by a goal and cover the bet. This, combined with the Capitals' not-so-convincing scoring record, makes the bet on Ducks +1.5 a plausible choice. The model's prediction and edge also support this direction, indicating a potential value in this

Mason McTavish (Anaheim Ducks) Under 2.5 Shots On Goal (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Mason McTavish for Under 2.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is primarily driven by his recent performance data and the model's prediction. McTavish’s average shots per game in his last five away games is 1.4, which is significantly below the 2.5 line set by the bookmaker. This trend is further substantiated by the model's prediction of 1.37 shots, which also falls under the 2.5 mark. Additionally, his current hit streak in away games is zero, suggesting a lack of recent momentum in contributing shots on goal. Although his overall L5 shots average is higher at 2, this is still below the line, and his hit rate in the last 6 away games was just 4 out of 6. These factors collectively indicate a greater likelihood of McTavish having under 2.5 shots on goal.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Anaheim Ducks vs Washington Capitals in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Tuesday 6 January 2026 at Capital One Arena. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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