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Model picks & player props
New York Islanders
VS
Edmonton Oilers

New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:21AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Rogers Place, Edmonton
Indoor
Fri 16 Jan 2026, 2:00AM
1
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Islanders 1.5 (Puck Line)
For New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers (NHL), model win probability 72.5%, fair odds 1.38, book price -179, model edge +8.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 16 Jan 2026, 2:00AM at Rogers Place.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Puck Line
New York Islanders
1.5
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York IslandersPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Islanders

  • Mathew Barzal COut
  • Semyon Varlamov GOut
  • Kyle Palmieri COut
  • Ryan Pulock DOut
  • Alexander Romanov DOut

Edmonton Oilers

  • Adam Henrique COut
Availability updated May 12, 8:04PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Edmonton OilersNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineNew York Islanders +1.5No line posted

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Connor McDavid. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders stats and odds.</p>

Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders : New York Islanders +1.5 (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on New York Islanders +1.5 in the Puck Line market is based on their recent performance and the statistical comparison with the Edmonton Oilers. The Islanders have shown a solid defensive performance in their last five games, with an average of only 1.8 goals against overall and 2.2 goals against while playing away. This suggests a strong capability to limit the Oilers' scoring chances. Even though the Islanders' scoring averages are slightly lower, the +1.5 puck line provides a cushion, meaning the Islanders can still lose the game by 1 point and the bet would win. The model prediction also supports this bet with an edge of 8.4%, indicating the Islanders are likely to cover the +1.5 puck line. This reasoning is reinforced by the Oilers' average of only 1.4 goals in their last five home games, suggesting they may struggle to overcome the 1.5 goal handicap.

Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers) Over 0.5 Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on the provided statistics, Connor McDavid has a strong track record of high performance, particularly in home games. His L5 Home Games Points Average is a solid 2.8, indicating he consistently scores over the proposed line of 0.5. In addition, his Power Play points average at home is 1.4, further supporting the bet. McDavid has a perfect hit rate in his last 20 home games and his current home games hit streak stands at an impressive 31. Furthermore, his overall performance indicates a strong trend, with a hit rate of 10/10 in the last 10 games and an overall EVpoints Average of 1.6. These consistent high scoring averages and flawless hit rates, combined with the model's prediction of 1.88 points for McDavid, reinforce the rationale for betting Over 0.5 for McDavid in the 'Player Points (Alternate)' market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 16 January 2026 at Rogers Place. The model has generated 1 game pick and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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