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Model picks & player props
New York Islanders
VS
Edmonton Oilers

New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:47PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Rogers Place, Edmonton
Indoor
Fri 16 Jan 2026, 2:00AM
1
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: New York Islanders 1.5 (Spread)
The model graded 2 markets for New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $156 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 72.5%, fair odds 1.38, book price -179, model edge +8.4%. Tip-off Fri 16 Jan 2026, 2:00AM at Rogers Place.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
New York Islanders
+1.5
-179
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York IslandersPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Islanders

  • Mathew Barzal COut
  • Semyon Varlamov GOut
  • Kyle Palmieri COut
  • Ryan Pulock DOut
  • Alexander Romanov DOut

Edmonton Oilers

  • Adam Henrique COut
Availability updated May 12, 8:04PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Edmonton OilersNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineNew York Islanders +1.5No line posted

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers — 1 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Edmonton Oilers
PlayerStatus
Adam Henrique COUT
New York Islanders
PlayerStatus
Mathew Barzal COUT
Semyon Varlamov GOUT
Kyle Palmieri COUT
Ryan Pulock DOUT
Alexander Romanov DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Islanders @ Edmonton Oilers — model preview

Deep dive into Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Connor McDavid. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders stats and odds.

Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders : New York Islanders +1.5 (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on New York Islanders +1.5 in the Puck Line market is based on their recent performance and the statistical comparison with the Edmonton Oilers. The Islanders have shown a solid defensive performance in their last five games, with an average of only 1.8 goals against overall and 2.2 goals against while playing away. This suggests a strong capability to limit the Oilers' scoring chances. Even though the Islanders' scoring averages are slightly lower, the +1.5 puck line provides a cushion, meaning the Islanders can still lose the game by 1 point and the bet would win. The model prediction also supports this bet with an edge of 8.4%, indicating the Islanders are likely to cover the +1.5 puck line. This reasoning is reinforced by the Oilers' average of only 1.4 goals in their last five home games, suggesting they may struggle to overcome the 1.5 goal handicap.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Islanders vs Oilers, or as Oilers vs Islanders. The most recent game between them was Friday 16 January 2026 at Rogers Place. The model has generated 1 game pick and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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