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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Flyers
VS
Dallas Stars

Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:21AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Sun 16 Nov 2025, 1:00AM
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Philadelphia Flyers (Moneyline)
For Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars (NHL), model win probability 55.5%, fair odds 1.80, book price +168, model edge +18.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Nov 2025, 1:00AM at American Airlines Center.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Philadelphia Flyers
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia FlyersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia FlyersPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Flyers

  • Nikita Grebenkin RWOut
  • Noah Cates LWOut
  • Owen Tippett RWOut

Dallas Stars

  • Arttu Hyry RWOut
  • Roope Hintz COut
  • Tyler Seguin COut
  • Nils Lundkvist DOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 6:06PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Philadelphia FlyersNo line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePhiladelphia Flyers +1.5No line posted
10-2ATS (puck line) record

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Dallas Stars playing Philadelphia Flyers. Includes analysis on key players like Jake Oettinger. Analysis includes NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers stats and odds.</p>

Jake Oettinger (Dallas Stars) Over 22.5 Saves (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Jake Oettinger to make over 22.5 saves is underpinned by his consistent performance in recent games. In his last five home games, Oettinger has averaged 22.8 saves and faced an average of 25.8 shots against. In his overall last five games, regardless of location, he has averaged even higher at 23.4 saves, facing 26.2 shots on average. This trend suggests that Oettinger is regularly subjected to a high number of shots, and his save rate is consistently above the proposed line of 22.5. Furthermore, his overall hit rate in the last six games sits at 66.67%, indicating a likelihood of this trend continuing. The model prediction of 25.27 saves further supports this bet, as it is significantly higher than the proposed line. Therefore, based on Oettinger's past performance and current trends, betting over 22.5 for 'Player Total Saves' seems a

Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers : Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Philadelphia Flyers 1.5 is informed by several key factors. First, the Flyers have shown competent offensive performance, averaging 3.2 goals in their last five away games. This is higher than the 2.8 goals the Dallas Stars have averaged at home in the same period. Secondly, the Flyers' defense has been relatively solid, with a goals-against average of 3.2, which is on par with the Stars' goals-against average at home. Moreover, the Flyers have shown consistency in their recent performance, with a 3-2 record in their last five away games, similar to the Stars' home record. While the Stars have had a better record against the Flyers recently, the statistical data suggests a close match-up where the Flyers could cover the 1.5 puck line.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 16 November 2025 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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