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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Flyers
VS
Dallas Stars

Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 10:25PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Sun 16 Nov 2025, 1:00AM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Philadelphia Flyers (Moneyline)
The model graded 3 markets for Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $268 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 55.5%, fair odds 1.80, book price +168, model edge +18.2%. Tip-off Sun 16 Nov 2025, 1:00AM at American Airlines Center.

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Philadelphia Flyers
+168
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia FlyersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia FlyersPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Flyers

  • Noah Cates LWOut
  • Owen Tippett RWOut

Dallas Stars

  • Arttu Hyry RWOut
  • Roope Hintz COut
  • Tyler Seguin COut
  • Nils Lundkvist DOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 6:06PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Philadelphia FlyersNo line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePhiladelphia Flyers +1.5No line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Arttu Hyry RWOUT
Roope Hintz COUT
Tyler Seguin COUT
Nils Lundkvist DOUT
Philadelphia Flyers
PlayerStatus
Noah Cates LWOUT
Owen Tippett RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Dallas Stars — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Dallas Stars playing Philadelphia Flyers. Includes analysis on key players like Jake Oettinger. Analysis includes NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers stats and odds.

Jake Oettinger (Dallas Stars) Over 22.5 Saves (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Jake Oettinger to make over 22.5 saves is underpinned by his consistent performance in recent games. In his last five home games, Oettinger has averaged 22.8 saves and faced an average of 25.8 shots against. In his overall last five games, regardless of location, he has averaged even higher at 23.4 saves, facing 26.2 shots on average. This trend suggests that Oettinger is regularly subjected to a high number of shots, and his save rate is consistently above the proposed line of 22.5. Furthermore, his overall hit rate in the last six games sits at 66.67%, indicating a likelihood of this trend continuing. The model prediction of 25.27 saves further supports this bet, as it is significantly higher than the proposed line. Therefore, based on Oettinger's past performance and current trends, betting over 22.5 for 'Player Total Saves' seems a

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Flyers vs Stars, or as Stars vs Flyers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 November 2025 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

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