On Sunday 30 August 2026, New York Liberty play Chicago Sky in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Chicago Sky +9.5 on the Line, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Chicago Sky +9.5 on the Line (-115)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Chicago Sky has shown some fight lately, winning 4 out of their last 10 games. They're facing the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, where the home team has been decent but not unbeatable. The Liberty tend to force turnovers less effectively than most teams, which means Chicago might find more opportunities to score. Plus, both teams give up about the same number of rebounds, so it could come down to which team makes the most of their chances. The spread is set at 9.5 points, and it's a close matchup according to our numbers. The Liberty are projected to win by around 7.6 points, meaning they might not cover that spread. The biggest risk here is that both teams are quite evenly matched and can surprise each other. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 180.5 Total Points (-125)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For this game, we need New York Liberty and Chicago Sky to score less than 180.5 points combined. The Liberty have been solid lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they've allowed a lot of threes and rebounds. The Sky, on the other hand, have won 5 of their last 10 but struggle with rebounds too. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 169 points, so there's a good chance they won't hit 180.5. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are, which could lead to a higher scoring game. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Under 17.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jonquel Jones has been pretty up and down lately, with her points and assists going from as low as 7 to as high as 36 over the last ten games. The New York Liberty are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10, but they do allow opponents to take a fair amount of shots from long range. This could mean fewer chances for Jonquel to rack up points and assists. The Chicago Sky have won 5 of their last 10 games, but they also give up a lot of rebounds, which might take away from Jonquel's opportunities. With her inconsistent performance and the way both teams play, betting on her to score under 17.5 points and assists seems like a solid pick. Just remember, it's always a bit of a gamble, and her performance can swing either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart has been a bit up and down with her rebounding lately, grabbing anywhere from 0 to 2 offensive boards in her last ten games. With her average being around 1, it seems like a good chance for her to land under 7.5 rebounds against a tough Chicago Sky team. Both teams allow about the same number of rebounds per game, so it should be competitive. The New York Liberty have also been winning a lot lately, taking home 7 of their last 10 games, which might mean less time for Stewart to grab those boards if the team is ahead. The most concrete risk here is that Chicago Sky also give up the same number of rebounds as New York, making it a tight matchup. Overall, betting on under 7.5 rebounds for Stewart looks promising today. It was priced at +109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich needs to score over 10.5 points tonight against the Chicago Sky. She's been pretty consistent lately, hitting between 1 and 6 three-point shots in her last 10 games, which shows she can find her rhythm. The Sky allow opponents to shoot a fair number of threes, so this could work in her favor. The biggest risk is that she has had nights where she scores low, but with the way she's been playing, there's a good chance she can hit that mark tonight at Barclays Center. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Chicago Sky. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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