Ceddanne Rafaela (NA) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-5000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels prepare to host the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Ceddanne Rafaela, whose speed on the bases has made him a notable player this season. However, let’s temper expectations for stolen bases today. Rafaela has been aggressive on the base paths, but facing Angels’ pitcher Griffin Canning, who excels at keeping runners at bay, complicates matters. Canning's pickoff moves and solid strikeout rate have stifled opponents' running games, leading to a significant drop in stolen base attempts against him. Additionally, the Red Sox have seen a decline in their overall stolen base success, with Rafaela himself not consistently reaching base as often lately. Given the combination of Canning’s prowess and Rafaela’s recent trends, betting on him to stay under 1.5 stolen bases seems like a prudent choice. It’s a classic case of a talented player meeting a formidable barrier on the diamond.

Wilyer Abreu (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Los Angeles Angels host the Boston Red Sox, all eyes will be on Wilyer Abreu, but betting on him to go over 1.5 doubles feels risky. The Angels' pitching staff has been relentless lately, boasting a solid .222 opponent batting average and a strikeout rate that keeps hitters guessing. Abreu, while talented, has struggled against left-handed pitching, and with the Angels likely rolling out a southpaw, his opportunities could dwindle. Moreover, recent trends show Abreu hitting a mere .190 in his last ten outings, illustrating a dip in form just when consistency is paramount. With the numbers stacked against him, betting the under on Abreu’s doubles seems wise. The odds reflect a heavy expectation for him to fall short, and with the Angels’ defense tightening up, it’s hard to envision him finding the gaps today. Expect a quiet afternoon for Abreu at the plate.

Jarren Duran (NA) Under 2.5 RBIs (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Jarren Duran steps into the batter’s box today against the Angels, the trends suggest a quieter day at the plate for the Red Sox outfielder. While Duran has shown flashes of brilliance, he faces an Angels pitching staff that has been surprisingly effective at limiting runs lately—especially against left-handed batters. With a strong strikeout rate and tight control, the Angels’ pitchers have held opponents to a mere 3.6 runs per game recently. Duran’s recent performance has been a mixed bag, and the pressure of facing a solid starting pitcher today could hinder his chances of driving in runs. It’s also worth noting that the Red Sox lineup has been inconsistent, leading to fewer opportunities for any one player to rack up RBIs. Given these factors, going under 2.5 RBIs for Duran feels like a smart play today, as the likelihood of him delivering in this matchup is slim.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro