On Tuesday 13 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-588)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Liverpool prepares to host Brighton, the stage is set for a tantalizing clash that promises goals. Despite a recent dip in form, the Reds are still capable of lighting up Anfield. While their last few home games have been a struggle, averaging just 0.8 goals, Brighton will be no pushovers. They’ve been known to exploit defensive lapses, especially given Liverpool’s shaky home record, where they’ve conceded an average of 1.4 goals. Digging deeper, both teams have shown tendencies to generate chances, with Liverpool averaging over 12 shots per match. Brighton, with their knack for counter-attacks, could easily find the net. Expect both teams to capitalize on defensive vulnerabilities, making “over 1.5” a compelling choice for this encounter!

That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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