On Saturday 3 October 2026, Juventus play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Lazio +1 Goal Handicap, priced at -149 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio +1 Goal Handicap (-149)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Juventus prepares to face Lazio, the recent trends strongly favor the visitors. Juventus has been inconsistent at home, managing just a 2-2-1 record in their last five at Allianz Stadium, with a troubling average of only 1.2 goals scored. Meanwhile, Lazio has been on a roll, boasting a formidable 4-1-0 record in their last five matches overall. Their away form mirrors this success, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded. When you look at expected goals, both teams appear to struggle, but Lazio's resilience and solid defensive performance give them the edge. They've shown they can handle pressure, drawing twice against Juventus in their last five meetings. With these patterns in mind, backing Lazio with a one-goal handicap presents a compelling opportunity—especially as they continue to find their rhythm on the road.

Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio Draw No Bet (+285)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Juventus prepares to host Lazio, the recent form of these two sides paints an intriguing picture. While Juventus boasts a decent home record, their last five encounters against Lazio have been a mixed bag, with two draws and two losses. In stark contrast, Lazio is riding high with four wins in their last five matches, showcasing a blend of solid defense and efficient goal-scoring. When looking at the numbers, Juventus has struggled to convert their chances, averaging just 1.2 goals at home, while Lazio's away form remains strong, allowing them to net 1.4 goals per game. Notably, both teams have averaged low xG figures, indicating that goal-scoring opportunities have been hard to come by. Given Lazio's recent resilience and Juventus's inconsistency, backing Lazio in the Draw No Bet market feels like a savvy move for this clash.

That is how our model reads Juventus v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article