Murphy Reid (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-213)

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Murphy Reid's recent form indicates a strong likelihood to snag a goal during the upcoming game. With an average of 1.6 goals per game in his last five home matches, a 62.7% goal accuracy, and 4.6 score involvements per game, Reid is consistently impactful in front of the big sticks. His average of 2.6 shots at goal and 0.6 marks inside 50 further highlight his ability to create scoring opportunities. Considering these stats, the model's prediction of Reid scoring at least one goal aligns well with his recent performance, making him a favorable pick to score anytime against Hawthorn.

Jye Amiss (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-270)

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Jye Amiss presents a strong case to score anytime against Hawthorn. Despite a modest L5 goal average of 0.6 at home, his 26.7% goal accuracy and consistent shot opportunities (L5 shots at goal avg: 2) indicate an upward trend. Facing Hawthorn's defense, which he averages 3 goals against in his L5 home matchups, further boosts his scoring potential. Amiss's high score involvements (L5 avg: 4.4) and marks inside 50 (L5 avg: 1) demonstrate his impact in creating and finishing plays. With an implied probability of 73.0% and a model edge of 6.7%, the data favors Amiss to snag a goal at Optus Stadium.

Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-333)

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Karl Amon is a strong bet to go Over 19.5 disposals against Fremantle based on his recent form and matchup history. Amon has been averaging 22 disposals in his last five away games, showing consistency. His good disposalefficiency of 85.4% boosts his chances of reaching this mark. Against Fremantle, he has maintained an average of 21 disposals. Additionally, Amon has hit 16/18 Over disposals in away games, highlighting his reliability. With a model prediction of 24.2 disposals and a 5.3% edge, Amon's form, efficiency, and historical performance suggest he is poised to surpass the 19.5 disposals mark in this game, making this bet a solid choice.

Luke Jackson (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)

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Luke Jackson is poised to shine in the upcoming home game against Hawthorn. With a model predicting him to surpass 14.5 disposals, his recent form supports this. Averaging 18.4 disposals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent where he averages 19.7 disposals, Jackson's consistent performance and high disposal efficiency of 79.8% make the Over 14.5 disposals a solid bet. His ability to gain meters (186.4 average) and contribute in contested possessions (11.6 average) further strengthen his potential to meet or exceed this line. The statistical edge and favorable matchup at home also enhance the confidence in this bet.

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) Over 19.5 Disposals (-667)

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Jordan Clark is poised to shine at Optus Stadium against Hawthorn, with a model predicting him to surpass 19.5 disposals. His recent form, averaging 28.8 disposals in his last 5 home games, coupled with a strong 75.6% disposal efficiency and a knack for generating 477.6 meters gained, makes this bet enticing. Despite facing an opponent where he has averaged 20 disposals in their last encounters, Clark's overall stats of 26.6 disposals and his consistent performance with a hit rate of 7/8 in recent games suggest he's primed to exceed the line. Trust in his ability to rack up possessions and impact the game, especially on home turf.

Michael Frederick (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Michael Frederick is a strong bet to score anytime against Hawthorn. With a model prediction of 1 goal and averaging 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games, Frederick has a consistent scoring record. His 53.3% goal accuracy and frequent involvement in scoring opportunities (4.4 score involvements per game) indicate his ability to capitalize on chances. Additionally, facing Hawthorn, against whom he has averaged 3 goals in his last 5 home games, further boosts his goal-scoring potential. Given his recent form and historical performance against Hawthorn, Frederick's likelihood of snagging a goal is well-supported by statistical trends.

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