On Friday 2 October 2026, Fiorentina play Como in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Como +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -185 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Fiorentina vs Como: Como +0 Goal Handicap (-185)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Fiorentina prepares to host Como, the form book heavily favors the visitors. Fiorentina has struggled at home, managing just one win in their last five outings, and they’ve averaged a paltry 0.6 goals per game at home. The defensive vulnerabilities are glaring, conceding an average of 1.4 at home, making it hard to dismiss Como’s recent away form. The traveling side boasts an impressive scoring average of 2.2 goals per match in their last five away fixtures, showcasing a strong attacking prowess. Moreover, the Expected Goals (xG) metrics suggest that Fiorentina's offensive struggles are real, with no significant threat generated recently. Como, conversely, has been creating opportunities, amassing 20.6 shots per game away. With Como unbeaten in their last five against Fiorentina and showing resilience, backing Como at 0 in the handicap market appears to hold substantial value.

Fiorentina vs Como: Como Draw No Bet (-196)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Fiorentina prepares to host Como, the signs point towards an intriguing encounter, particularly for those eyeing the Draw No Bet market on Como. The home side has struggled recently, with a dismal 1-1-3 record in their last five, and they’ve scored just 1.2 goals on average while conceding a troubling 2.4. In stark contrast, Como has found their rhythm away from home, boasting a solid 3-1-1 record with an impressive scoring average of 2.2 goals per game. With Como having taken points off Fiorentina in their last five encounters, their confidence is peaking. Notably, Fiorentina’s recent 0-3-2 home form adds to the narrative that Como could seize this opportunity. With an edge in recent form and attacking prowess, backing Como for the Draw No Bet seems a wise move.

That is how our model reads Fiorentina v Como. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article