Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Victor Wembanyama steps onto the court against the Denver Nuggets, the spotlight shines bright, but this matchup might not favor his long-range shooting. While he's a dynamic player, averaging just 1.2 threes in his last five away games, he's faced the Nuggets before and has only managed 2.7 threes on average in their encounters. Considering his current form, Wembanyama has been remarkably efficient, hitting the under in 8 of his last 9 games, and he's a perfect 14 for 14 on the road. The Nuggets present a strong defensive challenge, and with their ability to close out on shooters, we can expect Wembanyama to struggle to find his rhythm beyond the arc. Targeting the under on his 2.5 threes seems like a smart play based on these trends and the matchup-sometimes less is more, especially in a high-stakes game like this.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but the smart play here is to bet the under on his rebounds at 13.5. Sure, Jokic is a rebounding machine, averaging 17 boards in his last five games, but let's dig deeper. At home, he's slightly less prolific, pulling down about 14.6 rebounds per game. Against the Spurs, his rebounding average dips to 12.6, and even more telling is his home performance against them, which drops to 12 a game. With the Nuggets favored and a potential blowout in play, Jokic may spend less time on the floor. Plus, he's hit the under in 4 of his last 5 home games against San Antonio. The numbers suggest he'll fall short of that 13.5 mark, making this under a compelling choice.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs roll into Denver, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but this matchup might not yield the rebound bonanza some expect. Sure, he's been a rebounding machine lately, averaging 15.8 boards over his last five games. Yet, when he hits the road, his numbers dip slightly to 14.2 per game. The Nuggets present a tougher challenge; they're not just any team. Denver's frontcourt is known for its physicality, which could limit Wembanyama's usual dominance on the glass. Historical data backs this up, too-against the Nuggets, he's averaging just 14.7 rebounds in away games over the last five contests.With the oddsmakers setting his line at 12.5, it feels like a clever opportunity to bet the under. The numbers suggest an expected value of 11.43, and with a solid hit rate of 10 out of 17 on the road, it's

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