On Thursday 27 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 154 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 154 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Connecticut Sun have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They allow a good number of three-point attempts, which could help boost the score. On the other hand, the Golden State Valkyries are in better form, winning 6 of their last 10 and giving up a fair amount of rebounds. With both teams having the potential for high-scoring plays, this matchup feels like it could see plenty of points. Betting on over 154 points seems like a solid choice here, especially since our numbers suggest a combined total closer to 158.4. The main risk is that both teams are not at their best, making this a close call. Still, with their scoring styles, I think there's a good chance we see a higher total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +16.5 on the Line (-179)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For the Connecticut Sun to cover a point spread of 16.5 tonight, they'll need to step up their game against the Golden State Valkyries. The Sun have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, which makes this a tough challenge. However, they typically allow fewer rebounds than average, giving them a chance to control the boards. The Valkyries have been solid, winning 6 of their last 10, but their defense lets opponents have a lot of three-point attempts. This matchup could be close, especially since the expected final margin is just over 5 points. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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