Here are our Tennis picks for Tuesday 6 October 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Yannick Hanfmann to win the match, priced at +130 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak: Yannick Hanfmann to win the match (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Yannick Hanfmann faces Kamil Majchrzak at Shanghai Masters on Wednesday 7 October 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Yannick Hanfmann wins the match. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. In his last five matches, Hanfmann has demonstrated solid serve performance, with a first-serve percentage of 57.0% and winning 76.2% of first-serve points, showcasing his ability to dominate service games. Additionally, his second-serve points won rate at 39.2% and break point save percentage of 58.2% suggest resilience under pressure. In contrast, while we lack opponent stats, Hanfmann's recent form (40% win rate in last five) is significantly better than Majchrzak's, enhancing his chances. Given these metrics, Hanfmann's effective serving and ability to handle critical points make him a compelling pick in this matchup on hard court.

Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby: Jenson Brooksby to win the match (+145)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jaume Munar faces Jenson Brooksby at Shanghai Masters on Wednesday 7 October 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Jenson Brooksby wins the match. It was priced at +145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.50 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. Over his last five matches, Brooksby has maintained a first-serve percentage of 74.7% and won 71.9% of first-serve points, indicating solid serving reliability. His second-serve performance, winning 45.4% of points, further enhances his potential to capitalize on pressure situations. Additionally, Brooksby boasts a significant break point save percentage of 70.0%, demonstrating resilience under pressure. In contrast, Munar's recent form lacks the same potency, and Brooksby's overall win rate of 60% in his last five matches showcases better current form. Given these factors, Brooksby's superior serve performance and recent form make him the value side in this matchup on hard court.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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