Here are our Tennis picks for Thursday 1 October 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Robin Montgomery to win the match, priced at +123 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Katie Volynets vs Robin Montgomery: Robin Montgomery to win the match (+123)

Odds available at Pinnacle at time of publishing

Katie Volynets faces Robin Montgomery at China Open on Thursday 1 October 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Robin Montgomery wins the match. It was priced at +123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.30 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. In the matchup between Katie Volynets and Robin Montgomery at the China Open, Montgomery presents a solid value pick at odds of 2.23. Both players have identical recent form win rates of 60%, but Montgomery's performance under pressure is more promising. While specific serving statistics are not provided, Montgomery’s overall win rate indicates a higher potential for winning critical points. This suggests that the market underestimates her chances. Therefore, Montgomery's recent form and the superior perceived value make her the strategic pick in this encounter.

Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery: Arthur Fery to win the match (+100)

Odds available at Pinnacle at time of publishing

Jaime Faria faces Arthur Fery at Japan Open on Thursday 1 October 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Arthur Fery wins the match. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Fery's recent form is notable, reflected in a solid 60% win rate over his last five matches. His first-serve percentage stands at an impressive 63.8%, with 71.8% of first-serve points won, indicating strong serving performance under pressure. His second-serve points won rate (57.5%) further demonstrates resilience, especially crucial in tight situations. Given Fery's superior serving stats and recent performance, the odds present a favorable opportunity to back him in this match.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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