Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Friday 04/17 (5-Leg) Featuring Moussa Diabate!: Calculated Risk, High Reward

As the Warriors roll into Phoenix, Draymond Green's assist numbers tell a compelling story. Sure, he's averaged about 8 assists over his last five games, but looking deeper, his away performance drops to around 6.6. When facing the Suns, he's only managed 3.4 assists per game in their last few matchups, and that trend continues on the road. With the Suns' defense tightening up and Green's recent form showing a dip in productivity, the Under 7.5 assists feels like a solid play. He's hit this mark just three out of his last four games overall, and remarkably, only 13 times in his last 17 away outings. The implied probability of this bet suggests a strong likelihood of hitting the Under, making it a smart wager as the Warriors navigate a tricky road matchup against a well-prepared Phoenix squad.

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 22.5 Points (-238)

When it comes to Jalen Green facing off against the Golden State Warriors, the numbers suggest a compelling case for taking the under on his points total of 22.5. While Green has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performances paint a different picture. Over the last five games, he's averaged 20 points, but against the Warriors, that drops to a mere 9.6 points in their last encounter. Playing at home, he has fared slightly better, but even then, his average against Golden State at the Footprint Center hovers around 14.6. Given that he's hit the under in 12 of his last 17 home games, it's clear that the Warriors' defense poses a significant challenge. With an expected stat value of just 14.91, it seems likely that Green may struggle to reach that 22.5 mark this time around.

Desmond Bane (Orlando Magic) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-222)

As we gear up for Friday's clash between the Magic and the Hornets, targeting Desmond Bane for under 30.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a smart move. Bane has been solid but not overwhelming lately, averaging just 17.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 3 assists over his last five games. At home, those numbers dip slightly, with only 20.2 points and 3 assists per game. When facing the Hornets, he typically scores around 17.6 points, and even at home, he's only managed 16.2 against them. Given that Bane's hit rate has been 4 out of the last 5 games overall, and he's gone under in 3 straight at home, the trend is clear. With an expected stat value of 20.82 and a solid implied probability of 69%, it's hard to ignore the under here. Bane may just find himself

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-213)

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but betting on him to surpass 20.5 points and rebounds feels like a risky move. In his last five games, Santos has averaged just 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, well below our target. Away from home, those numbers dip even further, with only 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds to show for it. Against the Suns specifically, he's managed just 7.2 points per game and 4.2 rebounds over their last encounters. The pressure of playing in Phoenix might not serve him well, evidenced by his track record of hitting the under in six of his last eight away games. With an implied probability of 68%, betting on Santos to stay under 20.5 makes a lot of sense given the trends. Expect a quieter night for him in this pivotal matchup.