Dean Kremer (BAL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Dean Kremer for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Kremer's last five games show an overall average of 3.4 strikeouts per game and an even higher average of 4.8 strikeouts when playing at home. His performance specifically against the Blue Jays is also noteworthy, with an average of 6 strikeouts in the last five games. This suggests that he performs well against this team. In terms of innings pitched, Kremer averages 4.7 overall and 5.8 at home, providing ample opportunity to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further indicate a positive trend. Therefore, the data suggests that Kremer is likely to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

Jose Berrios (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Jose Berrios has been consistent in his last five games, both overall and specifically when playing away. His strikeout average stands at 4.8, which is significantly higher than the line of 2.5 for this bet. This indicates a strong likelihood of him achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts. His innings pitched (IP) average is also substantial, with 6 when playing away and 5.6 overall, suggesting he has enough game time to achieve the necessary strikeouts. Furthermore, his outs average is above 17 in all categories, showing his effectiveness on the mound. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further validate his consistent performance. Considering these statistics, betting on Berrios to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a data-driven decision.

Shota Imanaga (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Shota Imanaga's recent performances, particularly in away games, make the Over 2.5 bet in the Pitcher Strikeouts market a solid choice. His average strikeouts in the last five overall games is 5, double the line set for this bet. Moreover, his performance in away games is even better, averaging 5.2 strikeouts, suggesting he maintains his performance level when playing on the road. Additionally, Imanaga is currently on a strong streak, with five overall and ten away consecutive games hitting the Over. Although his performance against the Brewers has been slightly lower, his overall and away averages suggest he is likely to exceed 2.5 strikeouts. Therefore, this bet is based on Imanaga's consistent performance and his current form, especially in away games.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Pete Crow-Armstrong for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. His average stolen base (SB) rate over the last five games, whether overall, away, or against the Milwaukee Brewers, is only 0.2. This is significantly below the line of 0.5, indicating that he is not frequently stealing bases. Furthermore, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, are low (1 and 2 respectively), suggesting he's not consistently getting on base to even have the opportunity to steal. Additionally, his caught stealing (Cs) averages are low, which suggests he is not taking many risks in stealing bases. Therefore, the statistical data strongly suggests that Crow-Armstrong is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a data-supported choice.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Nico Hoerner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Hoerner has not stolen a single base, whether playing at home or away. This is further evidenced by his average of 0 caught steals in both scenarios, indicating a low propensity for risk-taking in base stealing. Furthermore, when specifically playing against the Milwaukee Brewers, Hoerner's stolen base average remains at 0. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, do not impact this bet as they reflect his batting performance, not base stealing. Therefore, based on Hoerner's recent lack of stolen bases, an under 0.5 bet is statistically justified.

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