Deep dive into Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Check out our 7-leg player prop parlay. Check out MLB parlay picks, player prop parlay bets, best MLB parlay today, baseball parlay.
Ryne Nelson (ARI) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Ryne Nelson's recent performance data supports the Under 1.5 bet in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. Over his last five games, Nelson's overall average walks allowed is significantly low at 0.4, and even lower when playing away at 0. Furthermore, his record against the Blue Jays is impeccable, with zero walks allowed. His innings pitched (IP) averages and outs averages are high, indicating he spends a considerable amount of time on the mound without giving away walks. This is further reinforced by his current hit streaks, which show a consistent performance. This combination of low walk averages and high IP and outs averages, along with his performance against the opponent and on the road, suggest a strong likelihood that Nelson will allow fewer than 1.5 walks in the upcoming game.
Tyler Anderson (LAA) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tyler Anderson for over 2.5 strikeouts is a solid choice given his recent performance data. In the last five games, Anderson's overall average strikeouts per game is 4.6, nearly double the line set for this bet. Even when playing away, his average remains consistent at 4.6 strikeouts. Against the Yankees specifically, his average increases to 5.5 strikeouts. This suggests a strong performance against this particular opponent. His inning averages also support this, with an overall average of 5.1 innings pitched, and 5.5 innings against the Yankees specifically. Furthermore, Anderson is on a four-game hit streak overall and a two-game hit streak when playing away. This consistent form indicates a high probability of him achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.
Tyler Freeman (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tyler Freeman for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. In his last five games, Freeman's overall stolen base average is just 0.2, suggesting that he is not often successful in stealing bases. Furthermore, his away game stolen base average is even lower, at zero. This indicates that he is less likely to steal bases when playing away from home, as is the case in the upcoming game against the Washington Nationals. Additionally, his stolen base average against this specific opponent is only slightly higher at 0.3. Given these statistics, it is statistically unlikely that Freeman will steal a base in the upcoming game, making the bet for Under 0.5 a wise choice.
CJ Abrams (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on CJ Abrams for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. His last five games' average for stolen bases is 0.4 overall, and it drops to 0.2 when playing at home. Against the Rockies, his stolen base average is 0. This suggests that Abrams is less likely to steal a base in this particular match. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero both overall and at home, indicating a recent dip in form. This could further reduce his chances of getting on base and subsequently attempting a steal. Furthermore, the Rockies have an average of 0.2 caught stealing against them in the last five games, suggesting they are somewhat effective at preventing stolen bases. These statistics combined make the Under 0.5 bet a strong choice.
Erick Fedde (STL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Erick Fedde's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. His last five games show an overall average of 2.6 strikeouts per game, marginally above the line. More significantly, when playing away, his strikeout average increases to 3.8, substantially above the line. This suggests that he performs better in away games, which is the case for the upcoming match. Additionally, Fedde's innings pitched (IP) and outs averages remain consistent at 5.4 and 16.2 respectively, both at home and away, indicating a stable performance. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further signify a positive momentum. Therefore, based on his recent away performances and current form, betting on Erick Fedde for over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically justified.
Andrew Heaney (PIT) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Andrew Heaney for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice based on his consistent performance data. Heaney's L5 overall strikeouts average is 5, which is significantly higher than the line set at 2.5. Even when factoring in his away game statistics, his L5 away strikeouts average is 3.2, still above the line. Furthermore, Heaney's performance against the Detroit Tigers supports this bet, with an L5 average of 5 strikeouts per game. Despite a slightly lower away game strikeout average, the overall and opponent-specific data indicates a strong likelihood Heaney will exceed 2.5 strikeouts. His current hit streak also demonstrates a consistent performance level, further supporting the bet. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting on Heaney for over 2.5 strikeouts is a solid choice.
Jacob Young (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jacob Young for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Young's average stolen base (SB) count over the last five games is 0.2, which is significantly below the bet line of 0.5. This trend is consistent with his home game performance, where his average stolen base count is zero. Additionally, Young's current hit streak is only 2 overall and 1 for home games, suggesting he might not have many opportunities to steal bases. Furthermore, when facing the Rockies, his stolen base average is only 0.4. All these stats point towards a lower likelihood of Young stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a statistically sound decision.
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