Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Milwaukee Brewers playing Miami Marlins. Check out our 7-leg player prop parlay. Analysis includes MLB parlay picks, player prop parlay bets, best MLB parlay today, baseball parlay.
Christian Yelich (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-312)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Christian Yelich in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, backed by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Yelich's overall stolen base average is 0.4, and when playing at home, this number drops to 0.2. This indicates that he is less likely to steal bases when playing on his home field. Furthermore, Yelich's stolen base average against the Miami Marlins is also 0.4, reinforcing the trend of him not surpassing 0.5 stolen bases per game. In addition, Yelich's current hit streak, both overall and at home, stands at just 1, suggesting his form isn't at its peak. With no recent caught stealing (Cs) instances to disrupt his rhythm, the under 0.5 bet appears to be a statistically sound choice based on Yelich's recent performance data.
Shota Imanaga (CHC) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-312)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Shota Imanaga's recent performance data supports the bet for over 0.5 pitcher walks allowed. Over his last five games, both overall and away, Imanaga has averaged 1.6 walks per game, which is well above the line set for this bet. His innings pitched average also suggests he will likely be in the game long enough to allow at least one walk. Even when focusing on his performance against the White Sox, where he has not allowed any walks in the last five games, it's worth noting that his innings pitched average is lower, at 4.1. This suggests he has been pulled from the game earlier, possibly reducing his chances of giving up a walk. Given his overall and away walks averages, it's statistically likely that he will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game.
Zack Littell (TBR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Zack Littell for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. His last five overall games show an average of 4.2 strikeouts, significantly higher than the line of 2.5. This trend continues in his away games, where he also averages 4.2 strikeouts. Furthermore, he averages 5.8 innings pitched overall and 5.6 in away games, providing ample opportunities for strikeouts. Although his performance against the Reds shows a slightly lower average of 3.5 strikeouts, this is still above the line. Despite a current hit streak of 0, Littell's consistent strikeout averages in both overall and away games make this bet a statistically sound choice.
Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Matt McLain for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound given his recent performance. McLain's average stolen base rate over the last five games is only 0.2, and this drops to 0.4 when considering home games. This suggests that he is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and at home, is just 1. This implies that he has not been reaching base consistently, which is a prerequisite for stealing bases. Additionally, he has not been caught stealing in the last five games, indicating that he is not taking many risks on the base paths. Based on these statistics, it is statistically probable that McLain will not steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Jazz Chisholm Jr. to have under 0.5 stolen bases in the game between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies is based on his recent performance data. In the last five games, Chisholm Jr. has an overall stolen base average of just 0.2, indicating he rarely steals bases. His performance at home is even more conservative, with a stolen base average of 0. Furthermore, his recent encounters with the Phillies show no stolen bases. The data also shows that he's been caught stealing on average 0.2 times in the last five games, both overall and at home. Considering his current hit streak of 3, it seems he's more focused on hitting than stealing bases. Therefore, the data suggests that it's highly probable Chisholm Jr. will not steal a base in this game.
Jose Berrios (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jose Berrios for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is statistically sound. Berrios' recent performance data shows he consistently exceeds this line. His last five overall and away games average 4.8 strikeouts, nearly double the bet line. Even more compelling, his average jumps to 5.3 strikeouts when facing the Tigers. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he will have ample opportunity to rack up strikeouts. In the last five games against the Tigers, he's averaged 7.3 innings pitched and 22 outs, both higher than his overall and away averages. This indicates he's likely to have a strong, long-lasting presence on the mound, increasing his chances of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further support this bet, revealing a pattern of consistent performance.
Tyler Freeman (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-556)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Tyler Freeman for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his past performance. Freeman's overall average for stolen bases in the last five games is just 0.2, and when playing away games, his stolen bases average drops to zero. Furthermore, his performance against the Orioles also supports this bet, as his stolen bases average against this opponent is zero. Additionally, despite having a strong away current hit streak of 13, Freeman's lack of stolen bases in recent games indicates a lower likelihood of stealing bases in the upcoming game. Finally, the Orioles have a decent average of catching stealing players with a rate of 0.2 in the last five games, further limiting Freeman's chances. Therefore, the statistical data suggests that Freeman is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game.
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