Isaiah Dudley (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-110)

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Isaiah Dudley is a promising goal-scoring threat for Fremantle, with a solid average of 1 goal per game over his last 5 matches. His accurate goal kicking at 58.3% and frequent involvement inside 50 suggest he's well-positioned to snag a goal against Hawthorn. With an average of 2.2 shots at goal per game and 3.6 score involvements in his recent home games, Dudley is likely to capitalize on his opportunities. The model's prediction of him scoring at least 1 goal, with a 20.0% edge, aligns well with his recent form, making him a strong candidate to hit the scoreboard in this matchup at Optus Stadium.

Calsher Dear (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-217)

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Calsher Dear's recent performance, averaging 1.4 goals in his last five away games, indicates his scoring potential. With a solid goal accuracy of 43.6% away and 60.6% overall, he's efficient in front of the big sticks. Averaging 2.4 shots at goal and 3.8 score involvements in away games, Dear is actively involved in creating scoring opportunities. Facing Fremantle, against whom he averages 2 goals in the last five matchups, he has historically performed well. Considering his recent form, goal-scoring consistency, and involvement in creating chances, betting on Calsher Dear to snag a goal anytime seems a promising choice for this AFL matchup.

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda) Over 26.5 Disposals (-122)

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Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is set to shine in this matchup based on his recent stellar form. With a model prediction of 29.8 disposals and a solid average of 33.6 disposals in his last five home games, he consistently meets and exceeds the 26.5 line. His exceptional 70.9% disposal efficiency and ability to cover ground (754.4 meters gained on average) make him a key player for St Kilda. Wanganeen-Milera’s impressive hit rates, including a current streak of 10 successful bets, highlight his reliability in surpassing this line. Coupled with his strong performance against the Sydney Swans in their previous encounters, this bet on Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera to surpass 26.5 disposals presents a compelling opportunity for AFL betting enthusiasts.

Jack Williams (West Coast Eagles) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-217)

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Jack Williams is a strong bet to score anytime in the Port Adelaide vs. West Coast Eagles game due to his recent performance. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last five away games, a solid goal accuracy of 55.0%, and a consistent involvement in scoring opportunities averaging 3.4 score involvements per game, Williams has shown a knack for finding the big sticks. Additionally, his average of 2.4 shots at goal per game and 1.4 marks inside 50 highlight his ability to create and convert chances. Considering his recent form and the model's high prediction of 1.4 goals, backing Williams to snag a goal in this matchup at Adelaide Oval seems like a smart play.

Zak Butters (Port Adelaide) Under 29.5 Disposals (-112)

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Zak Butters' recent performance, especially at home, suggests he may fall short of the 29.5 disposals line. Despite averaging 27.6 disposals in his last five home games, his average against the West Coast Eagles specifically sits at 21 disposals. With a model prediction of 26.7 disposals and a solid standard deviation of 5, there's a high likelihood he won't reach the line. Additionally, his hit rates show inconsistency, making the under 29.5 disposals a favorable bet, supported by his turnovers averaging 3.6 in his last five home games, potentially limiting his disposal opportunities.

Corey Wagner (Fremantle) Under 17.5 Disposals (-128)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Corey Wagner is likely to stay under 17.5 disposals based on his recent form. Despite averaging 14.6 disposals in his last five home games, he faces Hawthorn, against whom he only averages 15.5 disposals. With a model prediction of 14.3 disposals and a standard deviation of 5, indicating consistency, Wagner's recent performances show lower numbers, making the under 17.5 a solid bet. His current hit rate at home is 8/12, suggesting variability but also room for potential consistency. Additionally, with his overall hit rate at 3/4 in recent games, the odds are favorable for Wagner to continue his trend of falling short of the 17.5 line.

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