Today's EPL Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds (Tuesday 10/13 EPL Slate)

As Swansea City prepares to host West Ham United, there’s a compelling case for backing the Swans in the Draw No Bet market. Swansea has been solid at home, boasting a 3-2-0 record in their last five home matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding just 0.4. Their attacking output has been consistent, with an impressive shot average of 11.8 per game, showcasing their intent in front of goal. On the other hand, West Ham has stumbled away, managing just one win in their last five road games and conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Their recent form suggests vulnerabilities, particularly defensively. With Swansea's recent home prowess and West Ham's struggles on the road, the Swans have a strong chance to take all three points, making this bet a savvy play.

Fulham vs Hull City: Hull City +1 Goal Handicap (-161)

Looking ahead to Saturday's clash between Fulham and Hull City, it’s hard not to lean towards Hull City covering a -1 handicap. Fulham has struggled at home lately, with a dismal 0-2-3 record in their last five matches, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. They consistently concede more than they score, with opponents netting an average of 1.4 goals against them. Hull, while having their own ups and downs, has shown resilience, especially in away matches where they've racked up 1.4 goals per game. Their recent form against Fulham hasn’t been a walk in the park either, with Hull having won their last two encounters. With Hull’s attacking stats hinting at potential while Fulham continues to falter, betting on Hull City to cover the -1 line feels like a smart play as they seek to capitalize on Fulham’s struggles.

Fulham vs Hull City: Hull City +0.75 Goal Handicap (-115)

As Fulham prepares to host Hull City, the recent form suggests an intriguing opportunity for bettors. Fulham's home struggles are evident, having recorded just one win in their last five home games, while often conceding an average of 1.6 goals. They’ve only managed a meager 0.8 goals per match in that span, leaving them vulnerable. On the flip side, Hull’s away form has been more resilient, scoring an average of 1.4 goals in their last five outings. Despite a rocky recent stretch, their ability to create chances (12 shots per game) indicates potential for an uptick in performance. Plus, historically, Hull has outperformed Fulham in their last five encounters, winning twice. With Hull City getting a 0.75 goal buffer, they seem well-positioned to either win or secure a draw, making this handicap bet a compelling choice.

Real Betis vs Barcelona: Real Betis +1 Goal Handicap (+125)

As Real Betis prepares to host Barcelona, their impressive home form cannot be overlooked. They’ve won four of their last five matches at home, boasting an astonishing 5-0-0 record in their last five home games. In contrast, while Barcelona has been formidable away, their recent history against Betis leans slightly against them, with only two wins from the last five encounters. Moreover, Betis has been tight defensively, conceding just 0.6 goals per home match lately, while consistently averaging two goals scored. With an average of 17.8 shots per game at home, their attacking intent is clear, and they’re ready to take advantage of any slip-ups from the visitors. Given this context, betting on Betis with a +1 handicap feels like a savvy move. They’re primed to challenge Barcelona, and it might just be their day to turn the tables.

Coventry City vs Fulham: Coventry City +0 Goal Handicap (+100)

As Coventry City prepares to host Fulham, the home side's recent form gives them a distinct edge. Despite a mixed overall record, Coventry has shown resilience at home, boasting a 3-0-2 record there in their last five matches. They've averaged 2.4 goals per game at home, while Fulham struggles on the road, failing to find the net in three of their last five away matches and averaging just 0.4 goals. Coventry’s attacking prowess, combined with Fulham’s lackluster away performance, paints a compelling picture. The last two encounters between these teams ended in victories for Coventry, and their ability to create chances—averaging over 12 shots per game at home—should put pressure on a Fulham defense that's been leaking goals. With Coventry's strong home support and an improvement in their xG metrics, backing Coventry at 0 on the handicap feels like a smart move.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.