On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters play Dolphins in the NRL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 45.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 45.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Neds at time of publishing
The Sydney Roosters are playing the Dolphins and both teams have been scoring a lot lately. The Roosters average over 32 points in their last five games, which is more than usual. The Dolphins are also putting up solid numbers, hitting around 32 points themselves. However, our numbers suggest that the total combined score should be around 43.6, which is less than the line set at 45.5. It's a tight matchup, so it could easily go either way, but I'm leaning towards the Under here due to those scoring trends. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dolphins +5.5 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
The Dolphins are getting 5.5 points, and that's a solid chance for a close game against the Sydney Roosters. Both teams have been scoring well lately, with the Roosters averaging 32.2 points at home and the Dolphins not far behind with 32 points on the road. Still, with how both teams are performing, the Dolphins can easily keep it within that spread. If they continue to play like they have, this bet could be a smart choice for you today. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
The Sydney Roosters are set to face the Dolphins, and Thomas Flegler has a solid chance to score a try. He plays an important attacking role and has shown he can break through defenses. The Roosters are strong at home, but the Dolphins have been tough opponents lately, making this matchup interesting. Flegler's odds are quite high, which means it's a bit of a long shot. The closest challenge could be the Dolphins' defense, which has been known to hold up against powerful players. Still, with Flegler's skills and the attacking opportunities he might have, this bet could pay off. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Sydney Roosters v Dolphins. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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