Yves Missi (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 6.5 Rebounds (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pelicans head into Sacramento, all eyes will be on Yves Missi, but I'm leaning towards the under on his rebounds, set at 6.5. While Missi has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging just 5 boards over his last five games, the crunch comes when he hits the road. His average dips to 5 on away nights, and against the Kings, who have a solid frontcourt, he's only managed 6.2 rebounds in their last five matchups.What stands out even more is his away performance; he's hit the under in three straight games, showcasing a trend that's hard to ignore. The Kings' defensive strategy, particularly on the glass, could further limit Missi's chances. With an expected stat value of 5.66, I'm confident that taking the under is the smart play here. It's a classic case of opportunity meeting reality, and I expect Missi to fall short this time.

Jeremiah Fears (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans prepare to host the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Jeremiah Fears, but a closer look suggests betting the under on his threes made is the savvy play. Fears has shown some promise, averaging 1.6 threes on the road recently, but when facing off against the Pelicans, he's historically managed just 1.0 three-point make in their away matchups. The Kings are also known for their defensive adjustments, particularly against perimeter threats, which could further limit Fears' opportunities. While his recent form boasts a perfect 3-for-3 on hitting the over in his last outings, that's a bit deceiving given the context. With an expected stat value of just 1.1 and a solid hit rate of only 5 out of 7 on the road, it feels wise to lean towards the under on Fears' threes made. This matchup could shift the odds in favor of a quieter night for him

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