On Friday 31 July 2026, Richmond Tigers play West Coast Eagles in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Jake Waterman (West Coast Eagles) Over 1.5 Goals, priced at -400 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jake Waterman (West Coast Eagles) Over 1.5 Goals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag goals, Jake Waterman is the Eagle who's been circling the scoring zone with intent. In his last five away games, he's been averaging 1.2 goals per match, showing a keen eye for the big sticks. Despite facing Richmond's solid defense, Waterman's knack for finding space inside 50, with an average of 2.6 marks in his away games, gives him ample opportunities to split the middle. With a shots-at-goal average of 4.2 in his recent away clashes, he's not shy to have a crack when the chance arises. Considering he's upped his goal tally in recent matchups with an average of 2.2 goals overall, backing Waterman to go over 1.5 goals against the Tigers seems like a wise punt.

Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 11.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Elliot Yeo is primed to shine in this clash against the Tigers at the MCG. His recent form on the road has been nothing short of stellar, averaging 14.2 disposals per game with a strong impact on contests. With his current hot streak showing no signs of cooling off, Yeo's ability to find the ball, move it efficiently, and generate valuable metres gained makes him a solid bet to surpass the 11.5 disposal line. His consistency in contested possessions and interceptions further solidifies his potential impact in this matchup. Backed by his impressive hit rates and recent performances, Yeo is poised to step up and deliver another commanding display in the midfield. Expect him to make his mark and comfortably exceed the set line.

Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 12.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Elliot Yeo, the hard-nosed midfielder for the West Coast Eagles, is poised to shine in this clash against the Richmond Tigers at the hallowed MCG. Over his last five away games, Yeo has been a dominant force, averaging 14.2 disposals with a keen eye for interceptions and contested possessions. His recent form against the Tigers has been solid, averaging 14 disposals in their past encounters. With a current hit streak and a strong away game hit rate, Yeo is primed to surpass the set line of 12.5 disposals. Expect him to impact the game with his ball-winning ability and defensive prowess, making him a solid pick for the over in the player disposals market.

That is how our model reads Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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