On Sunday 20 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals play SMU Mustangs in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 56.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 56.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 56.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 56.5 points between them. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Louisville Cardinals to Win (-115)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Louisville Cardinals Moneyline. This one only needs Louisville Cardinals to win the game. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Louisville Cardinals -1.5 on the Line (-105)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Louisville Cardinals -1.5 Point Spread. On this line Louisville Cardinals give up 1.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 1.5. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.52 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.52 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Louisville Cardinals v SMU Mustangs. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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