On Thursday 3 September 2026, Ipswich Town play Liverpool in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Issa Diop (Ipswich Town) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +150 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Issa Diop (Ipswich Town) Over 0.5 Shots (+150)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Ipswich Town prepares to host Liverpool, all eyes should be on Issa Diop when considering the player total shots market. Though his recent averages hover around 0.2 shots both overall and at home, this matchup presents a unique opportunity. Liverpool’s attacking style often puts defenders in positions to exploit counter-attacks, and Diop could find himself pushing forward more than usual. With the Reds likely dictating play, Ipswich may need Diop to contribute offensively, especially given their home crowd's energy. The model suggests a slight edge for Diop to register over 0.5 shots, indicating that he could very well take at least one shot during the match. It’s not just about the numbers; it’s about the scenario. If he steps up as anticipated, that shot could easily be the difference between a loss and a valuable win for bettors keen on this prop.

Issa Diop (Ipswich Town) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+550)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Ipswich Town prepares to host Liverpool, all eyes should be on Issa Diop. While his recent stats show a modest average of just 0.2 shots on target per game, the narrative changes when he plays at home. Diop thrives in the familiarity of Portman Road, where he tends to seize opportunities a bit more often. Facing a Liverpool side that loves to dominate possession, Ipswich will likely be pressed into defensive mode. This could create moments for Diop to break forward, especially on counters or set pieces, where he’s known to pop up. The implied probability of 15.4% for him to register over 0.5 shots on target feels undervalued given the circumstances. With Liverpool likely to keep Ipswich on the back foot, a sneaky shot from Diop could very well find its way on target, making this a compelling wager.

Issa Diop (Ipswich Town) Over 1.5 Shots (+1000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Ipswich Town prepares to face Liverpool, all eyes should be on Issa Diop for his total shots prop. Now, while his recent averages might suggest a quiet approach—just two shots across his last five games—this matchup presents a unique opportunity. Liverpool’s attacking style typically invites defensive players to step up, and with the Reds likely dominating possession, Diop might find himself pushing forward more than usual. Additionally, with Ipswich looking to make a statement at home against a top-tier opponent, there’s potential for Diop to get involved in the attack. The fact that he's been relatively quiet in terms of shooting could mean that he’s due for a breakout. The over on 1.5 shots feels like a smart play here, especially given the situation—home underdogs often rise to the occasion against giants like Liverpool. Expect Diop to take a chance or two; after all, it’s all about seizing the moment.

That is how our model reads Ipswich Town v Liverpool. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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