DeMar DeRozan (Sacramento Kings) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Sacramento Kings gear up to face off against the Golden State Warriors, keep an eye on DeMar DeRozan, especially for his points and rebounds combined. Averaging 23.4 points and 3 boards away in his last five, he's clearly found a groove on the road. Against the Warriors, he's put up an impressive 27.6 points per game in their recent matchups. With Golden State's defense often struggling to contain versatile scorers, DeRozan's ability to attack the rim and create opportunities should shine through. He's hit the over on this line in three of his last five games and has been a force away from home, hitting the mark in all three of his recent road outings. With an expected stat value of nearly 23, it's hard to see him falling short here. The over on 18.5 feels like a savvy play as the Kings look to make a statement.

Precious Achiuwa (Sacramento Kings) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings head to Golden State, all eyes should be on Precious Achiuwa, who's been a force to reckon with lately. Averaging nearly 20 points and 11 rebounds on the road in his last five games, Achiuwa is peaking just in time for this matchup. When facing the Warriors, he's been particularly effective, posting 7.2 points in away games against them. Consider this: Achiuwa has hit the over on 14.5 points and rebounds in 11 of his last 12 outings-an impressive feat that speaks volumes of his current form. With an expected stat value of 23.52, the numbers certainly favor him here. The Warriors will likely struggle to contain his versatility, making the Over a smart play for a player in such rhythm. As Achiuwa continues to step up, he's poised to deliver once again in this pivotal game.

Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Nique Clifford heads into this pivotal matchup against the Golden State Warriors, the data suggests we lean towards the under on his three-pointers made. While he's been lighting it up lately, averaging 1.8 threes in his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, he's only hitting 1.4 per game, which is a drop in production. Against the Warriors, he's managed just two threes per game in his recent away encounters, and let's not forget that the Warriors excel defensively, particularly beyond the arc. With an expected stat value of just 1.25 and an overall hit rate of 60% on the under in his last 20 games, it feels like Clifford may struggle to find his rhythm this time around. So, betting under 1.5 threes made seems like a smart play in this matchup.

Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Kings at home, all eyes should be on Stephen Curry to exceed 24.5 points and rebounds. Curry has been on fire lately, averaging 28.6 points in his last five games, and he's particularly potent at home, where he ramps that up to 20.2 points and 2.4 rebounds per game. The Kings have struggled against him historically; he's dropped an impressive 23.6 points and grabbed 4 rebounds in their last five encounters at home. Given his current form and the Warriors' need for a strong performance, it's hard to overlook how Curry has hit the mark in four of his last five outings. With an expected stat value of 32.35, this prop feels not just reachable but likely, especially as he looks to assert his dominance in a key matchup. Bet on Curry to shine bright in front of the home crowd.

Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Kings gear up to face the Warriors, Devin Carter's rebounding numbers tell a compelling story, especially when considering his recent performances away from home. Averaging just 4.2 rebounds on the road and a mere 2.7 against the Warriors in their last five matchups, it's clear that this matchup could pose challenges for him on the boards. Despite his overall hit rate being impressive-16 of his last 19 games-those trends suggest a vulnerability when he travels. With the Warriors' pace and shooting ability, the opportunities for Carter to snag rebounds are likely to diminish. The expected stat value of 4.05 solidifies our lean towards the Under, particularly when factoring in the implied probability of 61.3%. This is a classic case of a player facing a tough environment, making the Under 5.5 rebounds for Carter a savvy choice as he takes the court in this pivotal matchup.

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