On Saturday 19 September 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Portland Fire in the WNBA. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 162.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 162.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries and Portland Fire are set to clash at Chase Center, and both teams have been scoring well lately. Our numbers suggest a good chance for the total points to go over 162.5, with an expected combined score around 168.3. The Fire have been traveling a lot, playing back-to-back games, which can wear them out. However, both teams have shown they can put up points, so it should be an exciting game. Just remember, a close game could lead to tighter defense in the end. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Portland Fire +12 on the Line (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Portland Fire are facing the Golden State Valkyries, and this matchup looks interesting. Portland is playing on the road after a tough game the night before, but they still have a solid chance to keep it close. The Valkyries have a bit of an advantage at home, but our numbers suggest the margin will be around seven points, which is less than the twelve-point spread. Taking Portland Fire with a +12 spread makes sense since they can compete well even on back-to-back games. The main risk here is that the Valkyries are expected to win, so Portland will need to keep up their scoring and stay strong on rebounds to cover the spread. Overall, this pick looks promising for a fun game! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Veronica Burton Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Veronica Burton has been playing well recently, but her scoring and playmaking might not match our expectations in this game. She usually scores around two free throws and attempts just over two, which is lower than her average, showing she may not have as many chances to rack up points and assists. Plus, her recent three-point shooting numbers are also down, with fewer attempts than usual. Going with under 20.5 points and assists seems like a solid choice since she's not been as active on the scoring front. The biggest risk here is that she could surprise us with a standout performance, but overall, the numbers suggest this bet has a good chance to hit. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Under 16.5 Points and Assists (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been a solid player, but the matchup against the Golden State Valkyries could be tough for her. The Valkyries are good at keeping other teams from scoring, and Williams has been struggling a bit lately with turnovers and shooting. She's been averaging fewer points and assists than usual, which makes this bet look promising. However, it's important to note that both teams are pretty close when it comes to talent, so Williams could surprise us. Still, with her recent numbers and the Valkyries' strong defense, betting on her to score under 16.5 points and assists feels like a smart choice. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Portland Fire. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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