On Friday 31 July 2026, Gold Coast Suns play Melbourne Demons in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 21.5 Disposals, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 21.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Noah Anderson is a midfield maestro on the rise, and the numbers don't lie. In his last five home games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 28.8 touches per outing. His ability to find the footy is second to none, with a keen eye for both kicks (15.8 avg) and handballs (13 avg). Anderson's recent form against Melbourne has been stellar too, averaging 29 disposals in their last five encounters. What sets Anderson apart is his consistency. He's been on a tear lately, boasting a 6-game hit streak at home and a 3-game hit streak overall. Combine that with his high disposalefficiency (76.7% avg) and his knack for gaining metres (477.8 avg), and you have a player primed to shine on the field. With a model predicting him to hit 31.4 disposals, taking the Over 21.5 on Noah Anderson is a smart play with a high probability of success. Trust in Anderson to lead the charge for the Suns against the Demons at People First Stadium.
Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 22.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright, footy punters, let's talk Noah Anderson. The young gun from Gold Coast Suns has been an absolute ball magnet lately, averaging a whopping 28.8 disposals in his last five home games. And when facing Melbourne, he steps it up even more, with an average of 29 disposals in their recent encounters. Anderson's silky skills and impeccable disposal efficiency of 76.7% make him a reliable choice to hit that Over 22.5 disposals mark. His ability to find space, rack up kicks (15.8 per game), and cover the ground with an average of 477.8 meters gained per match showcases his impact in the midfield. With a current hit streak of 6 at home and a flawless 6 out of 6 hit rate in recent home games, Anderson is in red-hot form. Trust the trend, back Anderson to continue his midfield dominance against the Melbourne Demons at People First Stadium.
Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 11.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to Joel Jeffrey snagging disposals on home turf, the numbers paint a promising picture. Over his last five home games, Jeffrey has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 16.8 disposals. Facing Melbourne, he's been even more prolific, averaging 13.8 disposals against them. With his recent form showing a hunger for the footy with 12.8 kicks and 4 handballs per game, there's a good chance he'll split the middle and surpass the line of 11.5 disposals set by the bookies. Factor in his impressive 81.7% disposal efficiency and it's clear Jeffrey is poised to make a big impact in this clash at People First Stadium. Bet on him to shine and rack up the possessions come game day.
That is how our model reads Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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