On Wednesday 26 August 2026, Dallas Wings play Portland Fire in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 175.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 175.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Dallas Wings have struggled recently, winning just 4 of their last 10 games. They tend to allow a decent number of three-point attempts, but overall their defense has been solid, giving up less than the league average in rebounds. Meanwhile, the Portland Fire also have a tough time scoring, coming in just under their opponents' average in points per game. With both teams closely matched and the recent form suggesting lower scores, betting on under 175.5 total points seems wise. Just remember, it could easily swing the other way if one team finds their rhythm. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Portland Fire +8.5 on the Line (-115)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds of Portland Fire at plus 8.5 points look tempting, especially since our numbers see a good chance for them to keep it close. Both teams have won four of their last ten games, but the Fire have been just a bit off lately, losing by less than a point on average in their last twelve games. They also create turnovers at a solid rate, which could give them extra scoring chances. Dallas Wings have allowed a decent number of three-point attempts and rebounds, which means they might struggle to control the game. The risk here is that both teams are pretty similar in form, so this bet could go either way. But taking the Fire with those points gives you a fair shot at a good outcome. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Arike Ogunbowale Under 20.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The odds for Arike Ogunbowale to score under 20.5 points and assists look promising at -106. Our numbers suggest she has a good chance of staying below that mark. Recently, her performance has dipped a bit, and she's averaged just 6.2 free throws made, which is higher than usual but still doesn't guarantee a lot of points and assists. One thing to watch out for is that Ogunbowale has been making fewer three-pointers lately, hitting only 0.8 per game against a typical 1.2. Plus, the Dallas Wings might have to deal with the Portland Fire's solid defense. This matchup could be tight, making it tough for her to rack up those points and assists. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Bridget Carleton has been on the court for the Dallas Wings, but her scoring has been a bit shaky lately. She's been averaging around just under three three-point shots made, which isn't quite enough to hit that 15.5 points mark. Plus, her recent games show her scoring is not as high as it could be, and the matchup against the Portland Fire could make it tough for her to find her rhythm. The risk here is that both teams are competitive, making this a close matchup. If Carleton can't get her usual shots or if the Fire's defense puts pressure on her, it might be hard for her to reach that points total. Keep an eye on how the game flows, but leaning towards under could be smart given her recent form. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Carla Leite Under 26.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The odds for Carla Leite to score under 26.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists are looking decent at -118. Our numbers suggest she's been a bit quieter lately, with her recent stats showing she's averaging less than what she needs to hit that mark. In her last five games, she has struggled with offensive rebounds and has been getting fewer free throws than usual, which might affect her overall contributions. The main concern here is that both teams are pretty evenly matched, so if the game stays tight, she might have to share the ball more. With the way she's been playing lately, this could be a good spot for the under. Keep an eye on how she's performing during the game, but the numbers are leaning towards her staying below that total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Dallas Wings v Portland Fire. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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