On Thursday 27 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 153.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 153.5 Total Points (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries have been playing pretty well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. The Connecticut Sun, on the other hand, have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10. Both teams tend to allow a good number of three-point shots, so there could be plenty of scoring. The expected combined total for this game is around 158, which is above our line of 153.5. Just remember, the Sun's recent form makes this a bit risky since they've been giving up points easily. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Connecticut Sun +11.5 on the Line (+112)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

For the Sun to cover the 11.5 point spread, they need to tighten up their defense and improve their recent performance. They've only won 2 of their last 10 games, which isn't great. On the flip side, the Valkyries have been stronger lately, winning 6 of their last 10. The Sun also give up a lot of rebounds, which could hurt their chances. However, the numbers suggest the Sun have a decent shot tonight, especially since they play at home. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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