On Thursday 27 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 152.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 152.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries are on a roll, winning 6 of their last 10 games, while the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 2. The Valkyries give up a lot of threes, allowing opponents to take 25.8 shots from beyond the arc each game. With both teams likely to score well, I like the bet on the total points going over 152.5. Just remember, the Sun's recent form is a real worry, and they might not keep up the scoring pace. But the numbers suggest there's a good chance for a high-scoring showdown. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connecticut Sun +13 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
Tonight, the Connecticut Sun need to keep things close against the Golden State Valkyries. The Sun have had a rough time lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, which makes this a tricky matchup. They also give up quite a few rebounds, averaging 32.2 a game since 2019, which could help the Valkyries get extra chances to score. However, the Valkyries allow a lot of three-point shots, letting teams take about 25.8 attempts per game since 2025. This could work in the Sun's favor if they can find their rhythm from beyond the arc. The most concrete risk here is that both teams have been pretty close in recent matchups, making it hard to predict exactly how this will go. Still, our numbers give the Sun a good chance to cover the spread. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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