Predictions
Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Picks (Pete Crow-Armstrong Key Factor): Expert MLB Betting Guide
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Pete Crow-Armstrong for under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Crow-Armstrong's overall hits average is 1.4, which is already below the line of 1.5. His average drops even lower when playing at home, with an average of just 1.2 hits. This suggests that he is less likely to achieve more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming home game. Additionally, his current overall hit streak is at zero, indicating a recent dip in form. His plate appearances average of 4.2, both overall and at home, also limits his opportunities to exceed the line. These factors combined provide a strong rationale for betting under 1.5 on Crow-Armstrong's hits.
Matthew Boyd (CHC) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Matthew Boyd's recent performance data suggests a strong likelihood for the over 0.5 walks allowed bet. His last five overall games have seen him average 2.4 walks allowed per game, well above the bet line. Even at home, where Boyd's control is typically better, he's averaged 1 walk per game, still above the line. Furthermore, when facing the Mariners, Boyd's walk rate has spiked to an average of 4 walks per game. This is likely due to the Mariners' patient hitting approach, which forces Boyd to throw more pitches and increases the chances of a walk. Additionally, Boyd is on a current hit streak of 7 overall and 5 at home, indicating a potential decrease in his pitching control. Therefore, based on these stats, there is a strong likelihood that Boyd will allow more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.
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