Here are our Tennis picks for Sunday 6 September 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx: Alexander Blockx to win the match, priced at -145 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx: Alexander Blockx to win the match (-145)

Odds available at matchbook at time of publishing

Francisco Cerundolo faces Alexander Blockx at US Open on Monday 7 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alexander Blockx wins the match. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Blockx has a 60% win rate in his last five matches, compared to Cerundolo's lower win rate. Both players have similar first-serve percentages (56.5%), but Blockx excels in winning first-serve points (82.3%) and has a notably higher break point save percentage (77.8%) compared to Cerundolo's less impressive figures. Moreover, Blockx's second-serve points won (46.0%) indicate resilience under pressure. In contrast, Cerundolo struggles with a higher opponent second-serve points won rate (58.1%), highlighting potential vulnerabilities. Blockx's ace rate (13.8%) further underscores his serving prowess, while Cerundolo's defense (2.0% double fault rate) indicates he can be pressured effectively.

Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng: Iga Swiatek to win the match (-370)

Odds available at matchbook at time of publishing

Iga Swiatek faces Qinwen Zheng at US Open on Monday 7 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Iga Swiatek wins the match. It was priced at -370 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Swiatek boasts a remarkable 80% win rate in her last five matches, showcasing her current dominance on hard courts. In contrast, Zheng's recent stats indicate vulnerability, particularly in pressure situations, with a BP save percentage of only 53.2%. Swiatek's ability to win first-serve points (approx. 64%) and her proficiency on hard surfaces (first points won at 61.6%) highlight her offensive strength. Zheng's averages are lower, especially in second-serve points won (42.2%), indicating potential trouble when under pressure. Given Swiatek's overall superior performance metrics and Zheng's inconsistency, Swiatek is the clear value pick in this matchup.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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