On Thursday 3 September 2026, AS Roma play Atalanta BC in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Odilon Kossounou (Atalanta) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +210 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Odilon Kossounou (Atalanta) Over 0.5 Shots (+210)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the clash between AS Roma and Atalanta BC, Odilon Kossounou presents an intriguing opportunity in the player shots market. While his current shot stats might not jump off the page—averaging zero in his last five outings—this is where the narrative gets interesting. Kossounou often finds himself in positions that invite a strike, especially against a Roma side that can be susceptible to quick counter-attacks. With Atalanta's attacking philosophy, Kossounou could very well see increased involvement, especially with the pressure to secure away points. The model suggests a 9.1% edge on the Over 0.5 shots line, hinting at a strong chance for him to break through. In a game where every shot counts, Kossounou could emerge as a pivotal player, making this bet not just a numbers game but a clear opportunity for value.

That is how our model reads AS Roma v Atalanta BC. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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