Kevin Gausman (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Kevin Gausman's performance data indicates a strong likelihood of him achieving over 2.5 strikeouts. In his last five games, Gausman averaged 5.2 strikeouts overall and 5.2 at home, both well above the line of 2.5. His innings pitched (IP) averages are also supportive, with 6.2 IP overall and 6.4 IP at home, providing ample opportunity for strikeouts. Against the Red Sox, his strikeout average increases to 5.8, further strengthening the case. His current hit streaks, both overall (3) and at home (2), suggest he's in good form. Despite the slight decrease in home outs average (16), the high strikeout averages across the board provide a strong statistical rationale for betting on Gausman to exceed 2.5 strikeouts in this game.

George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for choosing Under 0.5 on George Springer's stolen bases in the Blue Jays vs Red Sox game is statistically supported. Springer's average stolen bases over his last five games overall is 0.4, which is already below the line. His performance at home is even less promising for stolen bases, with an average of 0 in his last five home games. When facing the Red Sox specifically, his stolen base average remains at 0. Furthermore, there is no record of him being caught stealing in recent games, suggesting he is not attempting to steal bases frequently. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is only 1, implying he may not be on base often enough to attempt steals. This data collectively indicates that it's highly probable Springer will have under 0.5 stolen bases in this game.

Romy Gonzalez (BOS) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet for Romy Gonzalez to have under 0.5 stolen bases in the game against the Toronto Blue Jays is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. In the last five games, Gonzalez has not stolen any bases, indicating a lack of aggressive base running. His average for stolen bases in away games is also low at only 0.4. Furthermore, his current hit streak does not necessarily correlate with an increased likelihood of stealing bases. Despite his impressive hit streaks both overall and away, he has not demonstrated a propensity for stealing bases. This trend, combined with the fact that the opposition has an average of zero caught stealing in the last five games, suggests that Gonzalez is less likely to take the risk of attempting a stolen base. Therefore, the under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Romy Gonzalez is statistically justified.

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