Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Thursday 04/09 (Cooper Flagg Highlights): Finding the Edge

When the San Antonio Spurs take on the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper, but it might be wise to bet against him exceeding 22.5 points plus assists. Harper has been solid recently, averaging 14.8 points and 4 assists in his last five outings, but even those numbers fall short of our target. At home, he's averaged just 14.4 points and 4 assists, and against the Blazers, he's struggled even more, posting only 6 points and 3 assists per game recently. With a hit rate of just 6 out of his last 7 games for the combined total and an impressive home record of 18 out of 20, the odds are leaning toward the Under. Harper's performance seems to be trending down against this opponent, making it a compelling case to take the Under on his points and assists total.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

When it comes to Cooper Flagg's performance on the road against the Suns, the numbers suggest a compelling case for taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 40.5. Over his last five games, Flagg has averaged around 30.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists-solid numbers, but they fall short of this line. Specifically, in away games, his scoring dips to 23 points and he averages just 4.4 assists, which is a stark contrast to his overall averages. Against the Mavericks, he's tallied only 27 points per game, and even less in rebounds and assists historically. With the Suns' defense tightening up, it's tough to see him breaking through for a big night. Given his last 20 games show a hit rate of 75% on the under, and he's delivered three straight unders on the road, this bet looks like a smart play.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-111)

As the San Antonio Spurs gear up to face the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper, but it might be wise to consider betting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 27.5. Harper has been quietly efficient, averaging just 14.4 points and 4.8 rebounds at home over his last five games, with his overall contributions trending down against the Blazers. In fact, he's only managed 6 points per game against them at home recently. While his overall stat line looks decent, he's not consistently reaching that 27.5 mark. With a hit rate of just 19 out of 20 at home for this combined total, it's clear that Harper tends to fall short in high-pressure matchups. Given the stakes and his recent performances, going under seems like a prudent choice.

Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons) Over 14.5 Points (-141)

Cade Cunningham is poised for a standout performance when the Pistons host the Bucks. With an impressive average of 19 points at home over his last five games, he's clearly found a rhythm in Detroit. Facing the Bucks, Cunningham has historically thrived, averaging 25.6 points in their recent matchups, including a solid 20.4 points when playing at home against them. His overall consistency is remarkable-hitting the over in 13 of his last 16 outings and an even more impressive 16 out of 20 at home. With an expected stat value of 23.37, the 14.5 point mark feels more like a formality than a barrier. The Detroit crowd will undoubtedly energize him, making this a perfect spot to back Cunningham to exceed that total comfortably. In a critical game against a formidable opponent, he's primed to deliver, making the over a compelling wager.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (-105)

When the Denver Nuggets face off against the Memphis Grizzlies, the spotlight will undoubtedly be on Nikola Jokic. However, betting on him to go under 10.5 assists might just be the savvy play here. Despite his impressive average of 11.6 assists over the last five games, we need to consider the matchup dynamics. Jokic's assist numbers dip slightly against Memphis, averaging 10.4 assists at home against them. Moreover, with the Grizzlies' defensive schemes focusing on limiting his playmaking, he may find his passing lanes tighter than usual. Let's not forget, while Jokic shines in a lot of areas, the added pressure from Memphis could see him finishing closer to the 8-9 assist range. With an expected stat value of 8.68, the under looks enticing. As he orchestrates the Nuggets' offense, it might just be a game where he scores more than he assists.