Carson Benge (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to host the Mets on July 16, all eyes will be on Carson Benge, who’s been struggling to find his groove at the plate lately. With a batting average hovering around .220 against right-handed pitchers, he’s been facing quite the uphill battle. The Mets' ace on the mound, who has dominated hitters, will likely add to Benge’s woes. Recent trends favor the under, especially considering Benge’s last few games, where he’s managed just a handful of total bases. The Mets have also been stellar defensively, limiting opponents to minimal production. Given that Benge is projected to fall well short of the 1.5 total bases mark, taking the under here seems not only prudent but almost inevitable. In a matchup where every base matters, expect Benge to remain under the radar as the Phillies look to secure a win.

Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Mets clash with the Phillies, all eyes will be on Francisco Lindor, but betting on the under for his total bases could be wise. Despite Lindor’s prowess, he’s been struggling lately—hitting just .220 against right-handed pitchers over his last 30 games. The Phillies' starter has been particularly effective at limiting hard contact, posting a solid WHIP and keeping hitters like Lindor in check. Moreover, the Mets face a tough challenge against a Philadelphia bullpen that has been lights out, sporting one of the best ERA marks in the league. With the pressure of a tight race in the standings, expect Lindor to face quality pitches and possibly an early exit against a strong Phillies lineup. Given those recent trends and the matchup dynamics, taking the under on Lindor’s total bases feels like a smart play in this heated rivalry.

Jared Young (NA) Over 0.5 batter_hits_runs_rbis_alternate (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets, all eyes should be on Jared Young. The young slugger has made quite the impression lately, showcasing his ability to get on base and drive in runs at crucial moments. The Phillies’ offense has been rolling, averaging over five runs per game in their last series, and Young has played a pivotal role in that surge, frequently finding himself in advantageous situations against right-handed pitchers. With the Mets' pitching staff struggling to find consistency, especially against lefties, it’s hard to overlook Young’s potential to not just get a hit, but contribute to the scoreboard. Given his recent form and the favorable matchup, betting on him to tally over 0.5 hits, runs, or RBIs feels not just prudent but almost inevitable. Expect him to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the Mets’ shaky pitching. This could be a breakout game for Young!

Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets, all eyes will be on Bryce Harper. While Harper is undoubtedly one of the league’s premier sluggers, the matchup suggests he might struggle to find his rhythm tonight. The Mets' ace, with a sharp slider and a knack for keeping hitters off balance, has historically limited Harper’s effectiveness at the plate. Over the past month, Harper's been hitting just .240 against right-handed pitchers, and the Mets’ staff has been exceptional, maintaining a solid ERA in the low threes. Additionally, the Phillies have seen a dip in overall offensive production against strong pitching, leading to fewer opportunities for extra-base hits. Given these factors, betting on Harper to stay under 1.5 total bases seems prudent. The trends and matchups lean toward a quiet night for the star outfielder, making this wager a compelling choice in this divisional clash.

Kyle Schwarber (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets on July 16, all eyes should be on Kyle Schwarber's total bases. With an impressive start to the season, Schwarber has shown flashes of brilliance, but recent trends indicate a dip in production against left-handed pitchers—specifically, he’s managed just a .200 average lately when facing southpaws. The Mets’ starter, likely a lefty, has been effective at limiting damage, boasting a solid WHIP and an uptick in strikeouts against left-handed hitters. Moreover, the Phillies’ lineup has been a bit stagnant, struggling to produce runs consistently. With Schwarber’s current form and the matchup against a tough lefty, betting on him to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like a wise play. The numbers suggest he’ll have a challenging night at the plate, especially when taking into account his recent performance trends.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies face the Mets on July 16, all eyes will be on Bryson Stott, but betting the under on his total bases feels more prudent. Stott has been a solid player, yet he’s recently struggled against left-handed pitching, and today he’ll be up against Mets’ ace David Peterson. Peterson has been particularly tough on lefties, holding them to a mere .220 average this season, which bodes well for the Mets’ chances of containing Stott. Moreover, the Phillies have found themselves in a bit of a slump, scoring just 3.5 runs per game over their last week, and with Peterson on the mound, it’s hard to see them breaking out in a big way. The under on Stott’s total bases seems like a smart play, especially considering he's projected to land around 0.88 total bases. With the odds favoring a quiet night for the young infielder, betting the under offers a sound strategy.

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