Pablo Lopez (MIN) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Pablo Lopez to allow over 0.5 walks is supported by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and away, he's averaged more than 0.5 walks per game. Specifically, his overall average walks allowed is 1.2 and his away average is 1.0, both comfortably above the line. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's consistently on the mound for a significant duration, increasing the chances of conceding a walk. Furthermore, his current hit streak of 2 games, both overall and away, indicates a recent trend of conceding hits, which may correlate with a higher likelihood of walks. Therefore, based on his recent performances and current form, it's statistically likely that Pablo Lopez will allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.

Landen Roupp (SFG) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Landen Roupp for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is driven by his consistent performance, especially in away games. His last five overall games show an average of 6.6 strikeouts, more than double the bet line. His performance remains strong in away games, with an average of 6.4 strikeouts. This consistency is further illustrated by his current hit streaks, with an overall streak of 9 and an away streak of 5. Although his average strikeouts against the Detroit Tigers specifically is lower, it's important to consider that these games may not represent his current form. Given his consistent high strikeout rates, it is statistically likely that Roupp will achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

Brice Turang (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Brice Turang for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is driven by his recent performance against the Boston Red Sox and his home game stats. Turang's stolen base average against the Red Sox in the last five games is just 0.2, indicating a low likelihood of a stolen base in this game. Additionally, his stolen base average in the last five home games is also zero, further supporting the under bet. Despite his overall stolen base average being 0.8, the specific context of this match-up makes it less likely for him to steal a base. Moreover, there have been no instances of him being caught stealing, which implies he's not taking many risks on the base paths. Therefore, based on these statistics, the under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Turang is a sound choice.

Landen Roupp (SFG) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Landen Roupp's superior strikeout performance is the primary reason for betting on over 3.5 strikeouts. Roupp has consistently demonstrated strong pitching abilities, with an overall average of 6.6 strikeouts per game and 6.4 when playing away. This significantly surpasses the bet line of 3.5. His average innings pitched also supports this, with 5 overall and 4.8 away, implying he's on the mound long enough to achieve the required strikeouts. His current hit streaks of 5 overall and 3 away further indicate a continued high performance. Although his average against the Detroit Tigers is lower, this data is based on fewer innings pitched and outs, suggesting he has not faced this team as frequently. Given his overall and away averages, Roupp is statistically likely to exceed 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

Gabriel Arias (CLE) Over 0.5 Total Bases (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Gabriel Arias for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is a solid choice due to his recent performance data. Arias has shown a higher batting average at home games with 1.2 hits and 0.4 home runs, indicating a strong propensity for achieving bases. Moreover, his performance against the Dodgers is impressive, averaging 1.7 hits per game. This suggests he has a good understanding of the Dodgers' pitching strategy, further increasing his chances of a hit. Although his overall current hit streak is zero, his home current hit streak is 1, which shows that he is more likely to hit when playing in his home stadium. Therefore, his home advantage and previous performance against the Dodgers make this a good bet.

Griffin Canning (NYM) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-213)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Griffin Canning for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is based on his recent performance data. Looking at his last five games overall, Canning has allowed an average of 5 hits per game, well over the 3.5 line. Even when only considering his home games, his average hits allowed is 4.2, still above the line. His performance against the White Sox also supports this bet, with an average of 4.5 hits allowed in his last five games against them. Additionally, Canning is on a current hit streak of 1 overall and 5 at home, indicating a trend of allowing hits. These statistics collectively suggest that it is highly probable for Canning to allow over 3.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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