Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets. We analyze the top 6 MLB player props available. Discover MLB player props, best baseball prop bets today, player statistics predictions MLB.
Bryce Elder (ATL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-303)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Bryce Elder for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts is a solid choice considering his recent performance. Over his last five games, Elder has averaged 4.6 strikeouts per game, nearly double the line set for this bet. His performance at home is also strong, with an average of 4.6 strikeouts per game. When facing the Mets, Elder's strikeout average increases slightly to 4.8. His current hit streak, with 6 games overall and 3 at home, shows a consistent performance. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs averages, both overall and at home, suggest he's on the mound long enough to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. These stats indicate a high probability of Elder exceeding the line, making this a good betting choice.
Jake Irvin (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-270)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Jake Irvin for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a solid choice due to his consistent performance, particularly during away games. Irvin's last five overall and away games show an average of 5.4 strikeouts, doubling the line of 2.5. His innings pitched and outs averages also support this, with 5.8 and 17.6 respectively, indicating his ability to stay in the game and make significant plays. Although his averages slightly dip when facing the Phillies, they still surpass the line at 3.4 strikeouts, 5.2 innings pitched, and 15.8 outs. Moreover, Irvin is on a notable streak with 4 overall and 10 away consecutive hits. These statistics suggest a high probability of Irvin achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Phillies.
George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on George Springer for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Springer's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall, and this drops to 0.3 when looking at away games, indicating a lower performance when playing outside of his home stadium. Furthermore, his current hit streak for both overall and away games is only 1, suggesting he's not in a peak performance phase. Additionally, the opposing team, the Miami Marlins, have shown no caught stealing (Cs) in their last five games, which implies they have a strong defence against stealing attempts. Consequently, the likelihood of Springer achieving a stolen base in this game is statistically lower, making the under 0.5 bet a rational choice.
Lars Nootbaar (STL) Over 0.5 Hits (-204)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Lars Nootbaar's recent performance data makes a compelling case for an Over 0.5 bet in the Batter Hits market. His L5 overall and away hits average both stand at 0.6, indicating a consistent performance whether at home or away. This consistency is further highlighted when comparing his plate appearances, averaging 4.2 overall and 4 away. Moreover, Nootbaar's performance against the Rays is notable, with a higher hits average of 0.8. This suggests he's comfortable facing this team's pitching. His current hit streak, both overall and away, is at 1, showing he's in form. These factors combined indicate a high likelihood of Nootbaar securing at least one hit in the upcoming game against the Rays, justifying the Over 0.5 bet.
Jeffrey Springs (ATH) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jeffrey Springs has consistently exceeded the 2.5 strikeouts mark, as indicated by his overall current hit streak of 20 games and an away hit streak of 13 games. His last five games show an average of 4.6 strikeouts overall and 5.6 strikeouts in away games, both well above the line. Furthermore, against the Mariners, his strikeout average jumps to 7. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he stays in the game long enough to generate these strikeouts. Given his recent performance, there's a strong likelihood that Springs will achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Seattle Mariners. His consistent past performance in striking out batters, particularly when playing away games and against this specific opponent, suggests a high probability of this trend continuing.
Brenton Doyle (COL) Over 0.5 Hits (-149)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Brenton Doyle has shown consistent performance in his last five games, averaging 1.8 hits per game overall, and 1 hit per game when playing away. His plate appearances (PA) are also consistent, averaging 3.8 both overall and away. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his past performance suggests a high likelihood of getting at least one hit in the upcoming game. Moreover, Doyle has managed to get 0.6 hits on average in his last five games against the Pirates, indicating that he has been able to penetrate their defense. Although his away hit average against the Pirates is slightly lower at 0.2, his consistent PA average of 3.8 against them provides ample opportunities for hits. Thus, betting on Doyle for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a statistically sound choice.
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