Shane Baz (NA) Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-164)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Orioles gear up to face the Royals, all eyes will be on Shane Baz as he takes the mound. While Baz has flashed potential this season, his strikeout numbers have been trending downward, especially against teams like Kansas City that are known for their contact-heavy approach. The Royals rank in the top tier of the league for making contact, which could limit Baz's strikeout opportunities significantly. Additionally, considering that he’s predicted to record only around 2.76 strikeouts today, the under 5.5 seems like a wise move. The Royals are also riding a wave of momentum, adding to their confidence at the plate. With his recent performances not aligning with the strikeout line, it’s clear that the odds may be favoring an underwhelming day for Baz in that department. Expect the Royals to put the ball in play and keep those strikeouts down.

Alex Call (WSN) Under 0.5 Hits (+121)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers gear up to face the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Alex Call, who’s been a rollercoaster at the plate lately. With the Dodgers' ace on the mound, his chances of getting a hit could be slimmer than expected. Call's recent stats show he’s been struggling against left-handed pitching, and with the Dodgers fielding one of the league’s most formidable rotations, this matchup isn’t in his favor. Moreover, the Dodgers have been stellar defensively, ranking among the top teams in limiting hits. They’ve been on a tear lately, showcasing a blend of sharp pitching and solid infield play that's stifling opposing hitters. With Call's current form and the Dodgers’ ability to keep batters in check, betting on him to finish the game without a hit seems not only reasonable but likely. The odds reflect this trend, making the 'Under 0.5' on Call a savvy play today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (TOR) Under 0.5 Hits (+116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers prepare to host the Diamondbacks this Sunday, all eyes will be on Lourdes Gurriel Jr., especially with his line set at just 0.5 hits. Recent trends suggest that Gurriel has struggled against left-handed pitchers, and today he faces the ever-reliable Julio Urías, who has been especially dominant at home. Urías boasts a stellar 2.84 ERA and a .220 opponent batting average, making it challenging for hitters to find their rhythm. Gurriel’s recent performances also tell a compelling story. Over his last few games, he’s been swinging a lukewarm bat, and with the Dodgers' potent bullpen waiting in the wings, the odds seem stacked against him. The Diamondbacks have been inconsistent offensively, which could further limit Gurriel’s opportunities. Given these dynamics, betting on Gurriel to stay under 0.5 hits feels like the right call in this matchup.

Andy Pages (NA) Under 2.5 Hits (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Dodgers face off against the Diamondbacks, Andy Pages might find himself in a bit of a bind at the plate. He’s been struggling to find consistent contact lately, and against a Diamondbacks pitching staff that’s been surprisingly effective, particularly in limiting hits, I see this matchup leaning heavily in favor of the 'Under' for his hits. Arizona's starters have been adept at keeping opposing batters off balance, and with Pages averaging less than half a hit per game according to recent trends, it’s hard to see him breaking through. The Dodgers' lineup, while potent, often spreads the wealth, which can dilute Pages’ opportunities. With the odds heavily favoring him to stay under 2.5 hits, it just feels like this Sunday might be a quiet day for him at the plate. As the pressure mounts, I can’t help but think he’ll struggle to reach that mark today.

Andy Pages (NA) Under 4.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers gear up to face the Diamondbacks, Andy Pages finds himself under the spotlight, but I’m leaning towards the under on his hits, runs, and RBIs line of 4.5. Sure, Pages has shown flashes of brilliance, but lately, he’s been mired in a slump, batting just .220 in his last 10 games. The Arizona pitching staff, led by their ace, has been stingy, allowing only 3.5 runs per game over the last month. The Dodgers are known for their power, but they’ll be facing a tough matchup, with the Diamondbacks’ bullpen exhibiting a solid 3.20 ERA. With the stakes high and both teams battling for playoff positioning, I expect a tense game where runs could be at a premium. Pages may find it challenging to break through against this disciplined pitching, making the under a compelling play in this matchup.

Shohei Ohtani (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers battle the Diamondbacks this Sunday, all eyes will be on Shohei Ohtani. The two-way sensation has been a force, but he’s facing a challenging matchup today. Arizona’s pitching staff has quietly improved, particularly with their ace on the mound. Ohtani’s recent performances against right-handers, including some struggles with breaking balls, suggest he might not find the gaps as easily as usual. Moreover, the Dodgers' lineup has been dynamic, but they’ve also had a tendency to swing and miss against quality pitching lately. With Ohtani’s recent game logs showing fewer multi-base hits in critical matchups, the under on his total bases seems like a savvy play. The model's prediction aligns with this thought process, hinting at a lower output today. Given the stakes and the talent on both sides, expect a tightly contested game, potentially limiting Ohtani’s opportunities to pile on the bases.

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