Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Monday 06/02 (JP Sears Highlights): Finding the Edge

The bet on Jose Quintana for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance statistics. Quintana has consistently allowed above 3.5 hits in his last five games, with averages of 4.2 hits overall, 4.8 hits when playing away, and 5.6 hits against the Phillies. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he's likely to allow more than 3.5 hits, as they are all below the league average. Quintana's current hit streaks, both overall and away, further support this trend. Therefore, given Quintana's recent history of allowing a high number of hits, especially when playing away and against the Phillies, it's statistically likely that he will allow over 3.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-357)

Garrett Crochet's recent performance suggests a strong likelihood of him allowing over 3.5 hits in the upcoming game. In his last five overall games, he has averaged 3.8 hits allowed, which is already over the line set. Additionally, his innings pitched average of 6.3 indicates he typically stays on the mound long enough to potentially allow more hits. While his away game average is slightly better at 3 hits allowed, it's still close to the line, and the fact that he pitches an average of 5.6 innings in away games keeps the possibility of exceeding 3.5 hits high. Furthermore, his average against the Braves is exactly 3 hits over 7 innings, suggesting that the Braves' batting lineup matches up well against him. Given these statistics, betting on Garrett Crochet to allow over 3.5 hits is a solid choice.

Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-526)

The bet on Garrett Crochet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Crochet has averaged 2 walks per game overall, with an average of 1 walk per game both away and against the Braves. Despite pitching fewer innings away from home (5.6) compared to overall (6.3) and against the Braves (7), these averages suggest that it's highly likely he will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game. His current hit streaks of 6 overall and 4 away also indicate a continued pattern of allowing hits, which correlates with opportunities for walks. This data-driven analysis supports the high implied probability of 84.0% for this bet.

Charlie Morton (BAL) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-417)

The bet on Charlie Morton for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a strong choice based on his recent performance. Morton's last five games show an overall average of 4.2 strikeouts per game, already above the line set for this bet. Furthermore, his home game performance is even better with an average of 4.6 strikeouts. When playing against the Chicago White Sox specifically, his strikeouts average increases to 5. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also support this trend, as they are higher in home games and against the White Sox. This suggests that Morton tends to perform better in familiar settings and against this particular team. Despite his current overall hit streak being at zero, his home hit streak is at one, indicating a potential upswing in his home performance. This data all points towards Morton achieving over 3.5 strikeouts in this game.

Erick Fedde (STL) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-455)

Erick Fedde's performance data indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Texas Rangers. His overall average strikeouts in the last five games is 2.6, just above the betting line. However, his performance improves significantly in away games, with an average of 3.8 strikeouts. Furthermore, when facing this specific opponent, his average strikeouts increase to 5. Fedde also averages more innings pitched and outs in away games and against this opponent, suggesting he typically has more opportunities to achieve strikeouts in these conditions. His current hit streaks further support this bet, with an overall streak of 2 and an away streak of 1. Therefore, the statistical data strongly suggests Fedde will achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.