Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Landry Shamet, the numbers tell an intriguing story. Playing away against the San Antonio Spurs, he's been in remarkable form, averaging 13.6 points on the road over his last five games. His ability to step up in hostile environments has been impressive; in fact, he's hit the Over on his points and rebounds prop in six straight away games. With an average of 9 points and nearly 2 rebounds against the Knicks in their last five matchups, it's clear he finds a way to contribute. The Spurs' defense, while solid, has shown vulnerability against perimeter shooters, which plays right into Shamet's hands. With an expected stat value pushing towards 12.44, taking the Over on 8.5 feels like a smart play. Given his recent form and the matchup dynamics, Shamet is poised to exceed expectations this Sunday.

Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (+294)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Jose Alvarado, there's something intriguing about his potential to thrive in this matchup against the Spurs. Although his recent numbers might not leap off the page-averaging just over 5 points and 2.4 rebounds in his last five games-don't let that fool you. Historically, when he takes the court against the Knicks, he manages to elevate his performance, averaging around 6 points and 2.8 rebounds away from home. The Spurs' defense can offer opportunities, particularly for guards who are willing to penetrate. Alvarado's tenacity and ability to find openings could push him over that 9.5 mark with both points and rebounds combined. Considering he's hit this over in 5 of his last 12 away games, it's clear he possesses the capability. With the added motivation in a vital matchup, Alvarado is poised to exceed expectations and deliver for bettors looking for value.

Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs prepare to host the New York Knicks, Keldon Johnson stands out as a prime candidate to go over 7.5 combined points and rebounds. Johnson has been a steady contributor, especially at home, averaging 9.6 points against the Knicks in his last five matchups at the AT&T Center. He's also ramped up his rebounding, pulling down an impressive 5.4 boards on average in those games. With a hit rate of 17 out of the last 20 home games, it's clear that the Spurs' home crowd brings out the best in him. Add to that an expected stat value of 14.65, and it's hard to ignore the value here. With Johnson in a rhythm and the Knicks struggling against him historically, this prop feels like a smart play. Expect him to exceed the mark as he thrives in familiar territory.

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Knicks head into San Antonio, all eyes should be on Mitchell Robinson to surpass 7.5 combined points and rebounds. The Spurs present a favorable matchup, especially considering Robinson's recent form; he's been a reliable asset, hitting this mark in 8 of his last 10 games. Despite averaging just under 5 points and 5.6 rebounds away, he's thrived against the Spurs, posting an impressive 7.6 rebounds per game in away matchups against them. His ability to clean the glass and contribute offensively makes him a dual threat-especially as the Spurs struggle to contain athletic bigs. With the Knicks looking to solidify their playoff positioning, expect Robinson to step up, leveraging his size and skill to push past that 7.5 threshold. This isn't just a hunch; it's backed by a 56.8% implied probability, making it a solid choice for your betting ticket.

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Over 27.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Knicks prepare to face off against the Spurs, all eyes should be on Karl-Anthony Towns. This season, Towns has demonstrated his ability to elevate his game on the road, averaging a solid 17.6 points and 10.2 rebounds away from home. What's particularly striking is his recent performance against the Spurs-when playing in San Antonio, he's ramped up to 22 points and 9.2 rebounds. With a recent average of 16.4 points and 11.4 rebounds overall, the numbers suggest he's primed for a breakout. He's hit the Over 27.5 mark in three out of his last five games, and impressively, he's gone 3-for-3 away. Given that he's expected to contribute around 30.87 combined points and rebounds, this matchup feels ripe for Towns to deliver a standout performance. Bet on the Over; the stats and the momentum are clearly on his side

San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks : San Antonio Spurs win (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Here's the thing about the San Antonio Spurs: they've got home-court advantage and a history of strong performances that makes them a solid bet on the Moneyline. Now, let's add the New York Knicks into the mix. The Knicks have been struggling on the road, and the Spurs have consistently capitalized on this kind of situation. Taking a peek at model predictions, we see a robust 0.75 in favor of the Spurs. It's this combination of home-court advantage, historical performance, and current form that gives the Spurs an implied probability of 66.2% for victory. This isn't about taking a wild punt; it's about responding to the numbers and backing a team that's shown they can deliver. So, in the showdown between the Spurs and Knicks, our smart money's on San Antonio.

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