On Sunday 23 August 2026, Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 193.5 Total Points, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 193.5 Total Points (-769)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the Phoenix Mercury prepare to host the Atlanta Dream at PHX Arena, we should brace ourselves for a clash that leans heavily toward the under. Both teams have been struggling to find their offensive rhythm lately, with the Mercury's lineup battling through injuries and inconsistencies, while the Dream are notorious for their slow-paced, methodical offense. With the game projected to yield around 168.5 total points, it's clear that the high-scoring fireworks fans might expect won't be on display. The Mercury's defense has been tightening up, making it tougher for the Dream to find open looks. Add in the sweltering Phoenix heat, which can zap energy levels, and it's easy to envision a grind-it-out affair. Expect both teams to prioritize defense, pushing this matchup comfortably under the 193.5 total. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Phoenix Mercury +6.5 on the Line (-130)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Phoenix Mercury +6.5 on the Line. That is a points handicap bet. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.70 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Allisha Gray Over 19.5 Points and Assists (-179)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Allisha Gray Over 19.5 Points and Assists. That is a player points and assists combined bet. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.60 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 5.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.00 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Alyssa Thomas Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-213)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Phoenix Mercury play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Sunday 23 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alyssa Thomas Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Phoenix Mercury v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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