Konnor Griffin (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Pirates, all eyes will be on Konnor Griffin, who’s been finding it tough at the plate lately. Griffin's recent struggles are evident; he’s been held to fewer than two hits in several of his last outings, and the Pirates’ pitching staff has quietly been effective. With a solid ERA and a knack for inducing ground balls, their starter will challenge Griffin’s timing. Digging deeper, the Phillies’ lineup has been inconsistent against right-handed pitchers, and Griffin has particularly struggled against them in high-pressure situations. Coupled with the fact that the Pirates' bullpen can stifle late-game rallies, it seems likely that Griffin will come in under the 1.5 hits threshold. Given these dynamics, taking the under on his hits feels like a sound play for this matchup.

Nick Gonzales (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies host the Pirates, all eyes should be on Nick Gonzales, as he navigates a challenging matchup against a formidable Phillies pitching staff. Gonzales has struggled recently, particularly against right-handed pitchers, and today he faces a tough one in Ranger Suárez. The lefty has been excellent at limiting hits, boasting a stellar WHIP that speaks to his ability to stifle opposing bats. Gonzales has averaged just 0.67 hits per game this season, well below the 1.5 threshold we’re considering. Pair that with the fact that the Phillies have been on fire at home, putting pressure on visiting batters, and you’ve got a recipe for an underperformance. With the wind potentially swirling at Citizens Bank Park, it only adds another layer of difficulty for Gonzales to find solid contact. Take the under on his hits today; it’s a play backed by recent trends and a favorable pitching matchup.

Trea Turner (WSN) Under 1.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies host the Pirates on July 2, Trea Turner’s recent form makes a case for the 'Under 1.5' hits line. While he’s a dynamic player, facing a Pirates pitching staff that's surprisingly effective lately, particularly against right-handed batters, could stymie his production. The Pirates' recent pitching success features a solid strikeout rate, which has led to hitters like Turner finding it tough to get on base. Moreover, Turner’s hitting trends have shown a decline over his last few games, where he’s been striking out more frequently and relying heavily on his speed rather than consistent contact. Given the Pirates' ability to limit extra-base hits and Turner's current struggles, the odds favor a quieter night for him at the plate. Betting on him to stay under 1.5 hits feels like a prudent play, especially as the matchup dynamics align against his explosive style.

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